Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.892.893.78safe0.00–1.862.04–3.751.96–5.60safer0.00–2.111.81–3.981.48–6.08
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction2.867.4310.28safe0.99–4.725.69–9.176.68–13.89safer0.50–5.215.22–9.645.72–14.84
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2820.0030.28safe6.36–14.2116.44–23.5622.80–37.77safer5.26–15.3015.48–24.5220.74–39.82
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction5.8113.4619.27safe2.87–8.7510.78–16.1413.65–24.90safer2.04–9.5810.05–16.8812.08–26.46
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.036.049.07safe1.15–4.914.39–7.695.54–12.61safer0.61–5.463.90–8.194.50–13.64
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.436.9910.41safe1.21–5.644.99–8.996.20–14.63safer0.64–6.214.45–9.525.09–15.73
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction31.6768.92safe24.88–38.4662.13–75.70safer23.21–40.1360.46–77.37
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction301636937safe233–368570–703803–1071safer215–386553–720768–1106
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction59.9381.20safe55.90–63.9676.88–85.52safer54.61–65.2575.57–86.83
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4910.6221.11safe7.65–13.337.68–13.5615.33–26.89safer6.90–14.096.93–14.3113.83–28.40
Offsides
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.482.88safe0.24–2.560.39–2.570.63–5.13safer0.00–2.860.10–2.860.04–5.72
Yellow cards
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.293.05safe0.72–2.820.16–2.420.88–5.23safer0.45–3.080.00–2.710.32–5.79
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.060.16safe0.00–0.260.00–0.250.00–0.50safer0.00–0.410.00–0.380.00–0.79
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.722.036.75safe3.28–6.150.47–3.593.75–9.74safer2.89–6.540.05–4.012.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 2.89 2.04–3.75 1.81–3.98 | 3.78 1.96–5.60 1.48–6.08 | 13% 78% |
| Shots on target | 2.86 0.99–4.72 0.50–5.21 | 7.43 5.69–9.17 5.22–9.64 | 10.28 6.68–13.89 5.72–14.84 | 90% |
| Total shots | 10.28 6.36–14.21 5.26–15.30 | 20.00 16.44–23.56 15.48–24.52 | 30.28 22.80–37.77 20.74–39.82 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 5.81 2.87–8.75 2.04–9.58 | 13.46 10.78–16.14 10.05–16.88 | 19.27 13.65–24.90 12.08–26.46 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 3.03 1.15–4.91 0.61–5.46 | 6.04 4.39–7.69 3.90–8.19 | 9.07 5.54–12.61 4.50–13.64 | 80% |
| Corners | 3.43 1.21–5.64 0.64–6.21 | 6.99 4.99–8.99 4.45–9.52 | 10.41 6.20–14.63 5.09–15.73 | 83% |
| Possession % | 31.67 24.88–38.46 23.21–40.13 | 68.92 62.13–75.70 60.46–77.37 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 301 233–368 215–386 | 636 570–703 553–720 | 937 803–1071 768–1106 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.93 55.90–63.96 54.61–65.25 | 81.20 76.88–85.52 75.57–86.83 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 10.49 7.65–13.33 6.90–14.09 | 10.62 7.68–13.56 6.93–14.31 | 21.11 15.33–26.89 13.83–28.40 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 1.48 0.39–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 2.88 0.63–5.13 0.04–5.72 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 1.29 0.16–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.05 0.88–5.23 0.32–5.79 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.72 3.28–6.15 2.89–6.54 | 2.03 0.47–3.59 0.05–4.01 | 6.75 3.75–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.