Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.182.86safe0.72–2.650.32–2.031.04–4.69safer0.47–2.910.10–2.260.56–5.17
Shots on target
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.079.66safe3.73–7.462.33–5.816.06–13.27safer3.24–7.951.86–6.285.10–14.23
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5711.8128.38safe12.65–20.498.25–15.3720.89–35.87safer11.55–21.597.29–16.3318.84–37.92
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction11.127.7418.86safe8.18–14.075.06–10.4213.24–24.49safer7.35–14.894.32–11.1611.67–26.05
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.383.547.92safe2.50–6.271.88–5.194.38–11.46safer1.96–6.811.39–5.683.35–12.49
Corners
59%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.9411.10safe3.95–8.382.94–6.946.89–15.32safer3.38–8.952.41–7.475.78–16.42
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction53.9445.81safe47.15–60.7339.02–52.59safer45.48–62.4037.35–54.26
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction490406896safe423–558340–473763–1030safer405–576322–490727–1066
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction70.4768.96safe66.44–74.5064.64–73.29safer65.15–75.7963.33–74.60
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1210.9321.05safe7.29–12.967.99–13.8815.27–26.84safer6.53–13.727.24–14.6213.77–28.34
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.533.05safe0.36–2.680.44–2.620.80–5.30safer0.06–2.980.15–2.910.21–5.89
Yellow cards
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.422.62safe0.16–2.260.29–2.540.44–4.80safer0.00–2.520.00–2.840.00–5.36
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.796.66safe1.44–4.312.23–5.343.67–9.65safer1.05–4.701.81–5.772.86–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.72–2.65 0.47–2.91 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.10–2.26 | 2.86 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.59 3.73–7.46 3.24–7.95 | 4.07 2.33–5.81 1.86–6.28 | 9.66 6.06–13.27 5.10–14.23 | 63% 26% |
| Total shots | 16.57 12.65–20.49 11.55–21.59 | 11.81 8.25–15.37 7.29–16.33 | 28.38 20.89–35.87 18.84–37.92 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 11.12 8.18–14.07 7.35–14.89 | 7.74 5.06–10.42 4.32–11.16 | 18.86 13.24–24.49 11.67–26.05 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.38 2.50–6.27 1.96–6.81 | 3.54 1.88–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 7.92 4.38–11.46 3.35–12.49 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.95–8.38 3.38–8.95 | 4.94 2.94–6.94 2.41–7.47 | 11.10 6.89–15.32 5.78–16.42 | 59% 30% |
| Possession % | 53.94 47.15–60.73 45.48–62.40 | 45.81 39.02–52.59 37.35–54.26 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 490 423–558 405–576 | 406 340–473 322–490 | 896 763–1030 727–1066 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.47 66.44–74.50 65.15–75.79 | 68.96 64.64–73.29 63.33–74.60 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 10.12 7.29–12.96 6.53–13.72 | 10.93 7.99–13.88 7.24–14.62 | 21.05 15.27–26.84 13.77–28.34 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.21 0.16–2.26 0.00–2.52 | 1.42 0.29–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 2.62 0.44–4.80 0.00–5.36 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 3.79 2.23–5.34 1.81–5.77 | 6.66 3.67–9.65 2.86–10.47 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.