Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.600.903.50safe1.63–3.570.05–1.761.68–5.32safer1.38–3.820.00–1.991.20–5.80
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.653.3911.04safe5.79–9.521.65–5.137.44–14.65safer5.30–10.011.18–5.606.48–15.61
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction22.0310.1232.15safe18.10–25.956.56–13.6924.67–39.64safer17.01–27.055.60–14.6422.61–41.69
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.405.9020.29safe11.45–17.343.22–8.5814.67–25.92safer10.62–18.172.48–9.3213.10–27.48
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.432.678.10safe3.55–7.311.02–4.334.57–11.64safer3.00–7.850.53–4.823.53–12.67
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.643.4611.10safe5.43–9.861.46–5.466.88–15.31safer4.85–10.430.92–5.995.78–16.42
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.8239.04safe54.03–67.6132.26–45.83safer52.36–69.2830.59–47.50
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction592375967safe525–659308–441833–1101safer507–677291–459798–1136
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction75.3968.42safe71.36–79.4264.10–72.75safer70.07–80.7162.79–74.06
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.749.9719.71safe6.90–12.587.02–12.9113.92–25.49safer6.14–13.336.27–13.6612.42–26.99
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.333.29safe0.81–3.130.23–2.421.04–5.55safer0.50–3.430.00–2.710.45–6.14
Yellow cards
23%
25%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.582.53safe0.00–1.990.45–2.710.35–4.70safer0.00–2.260.16–3.000.00–5.26
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.534.927.44safe1.09–3.963.36–6.474.45–10.44safer0.70–4.352.94–6.903.64–11.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.60 1.63–3.57 1.38–3.82 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 3.50 1.68–5.32 1.20–5.80 | 74% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.65 5.79–9.52 5.30–10.01 | 3.39 1.65–5.13 1.18–5.60 | 11.04 7.44–14.65 6.48–15.61 | 87% |
| Total shots | 22.03 18.10–25.95 17.01–27.05 | 10.12 6.56–13.69 5.60–14.64 | 32.15 24.67–39.64 22.61–41.69 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.40 11.45–17.34 10.62–18.17 | 5.90 3.22–8.58 2.48–9.32 | 20.29 14.67–25.92 13.10–27.48 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.43 3.55–7.31 3.00–7.85 | 2.67 1.02–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 8.10 4.57–11.64 3.53–12.67 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.64 5.43–9.86 4.85–10.43 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.92–5.99 | 11.10 6.88–15.31 5.78–16.42 | 87% |
| Possession % | 60.82 54.03–67.61 52.36–69.28 | 39.04 32.26–45.83 30.59–47.50 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 592 525–659 507–677 | 375 308–441 291–459 | 967 833–1101 798–1136 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.39 71.36–79.42 70.07–80.71 | 68.42 64.10–72.75 62.79–74.06 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 9.74 6.90–12.58 6.14–13.33 | 9.97 7.02–12.91 6.27–13.66 | 19.71 13.92–25.49 12.42–26.99 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.50–3.43 | 1.33 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.29 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 0.94 0.00–1.99 0.00–2.26 | 1.58 0.45–2.71 0.16–3.00 | 2.53 0.35–4.70 0.00–5.26 | 23% 25% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 4.92 3.36–6.47 2.94–6.90 | 7.44 4.45–10.44 3.64–11.25 | 14% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+