Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.593.38safe0.82–2.750.74–2.451.56–5.20safer0.57–3.000.51–2.681.08–5.68
Shots on target
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.574.7510.31safe3.70–7.433.00–6.496.71–13.92safer3.21–7.922.54–6.955.75–14.87
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0013.0529.05safe12.07–19.929.49–16.6221.57–36.54safer10.98–21.028.53–17.5819.52–38.59
Shots in box
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.119.5619.67safe7.16–13.056.88–12.2414.04–25.29safer6.33–13.886.14–12.9812.48–26.86
Blocked shots
47%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.093.787.87safe2.21–5.972.13–5.434.34–11.41safer1.67–6.521.64–5.933.30–12.44
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.544.9110.46safe3.33–7.762.91–6.916.24–14.67safer2.76–8.332.38–7.455.14–15.78
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction52.0148.18safe45.22–58.8041.39–54.96safer43.55–60.4739.72–56.64
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction495467962safe428–562401–533829–1096safer410–581383–551793–1132
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction75.0076.32safe70.97–79.0372.00–80.65safer69.68–80.3270.69–81.96
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0010.3920.39safe7.16–12.847.44–13.3314.61–26.17safer6.41–13.596.69–14.0813.10–27.67
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.393.54safe0.99–3.310.30–2.481.28–5.79safer0.69–3.610.01–2.770.69–6.38
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.773.16safe0.34–2.440.64–2.900.99–5.34safer0.08–2.710.35–3.190.43–5.90
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.616.70safe1.65–4.522.06–5.173.71–9.69safer1.26–4.911.63–5.592.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.82–2.75 0.57–3.00 | 1.59 0.74–2.45 0.51–2.68 | 3.38 1.56–5.20 1.08–5.68 | 43% 23% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.57 3.70–7.43 3.21–7.92 | 4.75 3.00–6.49 2.54–6.95 | 10.31 6.71–13.92 5.75–14.87 | 54% 34% |
| Total shots | 16.00 12.07–19.92 10.98–21.02 | 13.05 9.49–16.62 8.53–17.58 | 29.05 21.57–36.54 19.52–38.59 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 10.11 7.16–13.05 6.33–13.88 | 9.56 6.88–12.24 6.14–12.98 | 19.67 14.04–25.29 12.48–26.86 | 50% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.21–5.97 1.67–6.52 | 3.78 2.13–5.43 1.64–5.93 | 7.87 4.34–11.41 3.30–12.44 | 47% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.54 3.33–7.76 2.76–8.33 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.38–7.45 | 10.46 6.24–14.67 5.14–15.78 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 52.01 45.22–58.80 43.55–60.47 | 48.18 41.39–54.96 39.72–56.64 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 495 428–562 410–581 | 467 401–533 383–551 | 962 829–1096 793–1132 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.00 70.97–79.03 69.68–80.32 | 76.32 72.00–80.65 70.69–81.96 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 10.00 7.16–12.84 6.41–13.59 | 10.39 7.44–13.33 6.69–14.08 | 20.39 14.61–26.17 13.10–27.67 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.54 1.28–5.79 0.69–6.38 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.16 0.99–5.34 0.43–5.90 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 3.61 2.06–5.17 1.63–5.59 | 6.70 3.71–9.69 2.89–10.50 | 34% 15% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.