Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.572.98safe0.44–2.380.72–2.421.16–4.80safer0.19–2.630.49–2.650.68–5.28
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.225.139.35safe2.36–6.083.39–6.875.74–12.96safer1.87–6.572.92–7.344.79–13.91
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6613.8227.48safe9.74–17.5910.26–17.3819.99–34.97safer8.64–18.689.30–18.3417.94–37.02
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.868.8317.69safe5.92–11.806.15–11.5112.06–23.31safer5.09–12.635.41–12.2510.50–24.88
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.834.358.17safe1.94–5.712.69–6.004.64–11.71safer1.40–6.252.20–6.493.60–12.74
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.975.7410.71safe2.76–7.183.74–7.746.50–14.93safer2.18–7.763.21–8.285.39–16.04
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction47.0052.92safe40.21–53.7946.14–59.71safer38.54–55.4644.47–61.38
Passes
37%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction411449860safe343–478383–515726–993safer325–496365–533690–1029
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction67.9172.88safe63.88–71.9468.56–77.20safer62.59–73.2367.25–78.51
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4711.3921.86safe7.63–13.308.45–14.3416.08–27.64safer6.87–14.067.70–15.0814.57–29.14
Offsides
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.663.08safe0.26–2.580.57–2.760.83–5.33safer0.00–2.880.28–3.040.24–5.92
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.663.18safe0.46–2.560.54–2.791.00–5.35safer0.20–2.830.24–3.080.44–5.91
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.342.896.23safe1.90–4.781.34–4.453.24–9.22safer1.52–5.160.91–4.872.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.57 0.72–2.42 0.49–2.65 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 34% 24% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.36–6.08 1.87–6.57 | 5.13 3.39–6.87 2.92–7.34 | 9.35 5.74–12.96 4.79–13.91 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 13.66 9.74–17.59 8.64–18.68 | 13.82 10.26–17.38 9.30–18.34 | 27.48 19.99–34.97 17.94–37.02 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 8.86 5.92–11.80 5.09–12.63 | 8.83 6.15–11.51 5.41–12.25 | 17.69 12.06–23.31 10.50–24.88 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.94–5.71 1.40–6.25 | 4.35 2.69–6.00 2.20–6.49 | 8.17 4.64–11.71 3.60–12.74 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.76–7.18 2.18–7.76 | 5.74 3.74–7.74 3.21–8.28 | 10.71 6.50–14.93 5.39–16.04 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 47.00 40.21–53.79 38.54–55.46 | 52.92 46.14–59.71 44.47–61.38 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 411 343–478 325–496 | 449 383–515 365–533 | 860 726–993 690–1029 | 37% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.91 63.88–71.94 62.59–73.23 | 72.88 68.56–77.20 67.25–78.51 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 10.47 7.63–13.30 6.87–14.06 | 11.39 8.45–14.34 7.70–15.08 | 21.86 16.08–27.64 14.57–29.14 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.04 | 3.08 0.83–5.33 0.24–5.92 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 1.66 0.54–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.18 1.00–5.35 0.44–5.91 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.34 1.90–4.78 1.52–5.16 | 2.89 1.34–4.45 0.91–4.87 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.43–10.04 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+