Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.810.893.70safe1.84–3.780.04–1.751.88–5.52safer1.59–4.030.00–1.981.40–6.00
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.633.4111.04safe5.77–9.491.67–5.157.43–14.64safer5.28–9.981.20–5.626.48–15.60
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.689.6229.30safe15.75–23.606.06–13.1921.82–36.79safer14.66–24.705.10–14.1519.77–38.84
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.815.4619.28safe10.87–16.762.78–8.1413.65–24.90safer10.04–17.582.04–8.8812.09–26.47
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.232.507.73safe3.35–7.110.85–4.164.20–11.27safer2.80–7.660.36–4.653.16–12.30
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.933.2510.17safe4.71–9.141.25–5.255.96–14.39safer4.14–9.710.71–5.784.85–15.49
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.0441.25safe51.25–64.8334.46–48.03safer49.58–66.5032.79–49.70
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction569405974safe502–636338–471840–1108safer484–655321–489805–1143
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction77.0471.87safe73.02–81.0767.54–76.19safer71.72–82.3766.23–77.50
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.069.7119.77safe7.22–12.906.77–12.6613.99–25.56safer6.47–13.666.02–13.4112.49–27.06
Offsides
44%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.713.65safe0.78–3.100.62–2.801.39–5.90safer0.48–3.400.33–3.090.80–6.49
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.762.92safe0.11–2.210.63–2.890.74–5.10safer0.00–2.470.34–3.180.18–5.66
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.204.576.77safe0.77–3.643.01–6.133.78–9.77safer0.38–4.032.59–6.552.97–10.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.81 1.84–3.78 1.59–4.03 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.70 1.88–5.52 1.40–6.00 | 77% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.63 5.77–9.49 5.28–9.98 | 3.41 1.67–5.15 1.20–5.62 | 11.04 7.43–14.64 6.48–15.60 | 87% |
| Total shots | 19.68 15.75–23.60 14.66–24.70 | 9.62 6.06–13.19 5.10–14.15 | 29.30 21.82–36.79 19.77–38.84 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 13.81 10.87–16.76 10.04–17.58 | 5.46 2.78–8.14 2.04–8.88 | 19.28 13.65–24.90 12.09–26.47 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.23 3.35–7.11 2.80–7.66 | 2.50 0.85–4.16 0.36–4.65 | 7.73 4.20–11.27 3.16–12.30 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.93 4.71–9.14 4.14–9.71 | 3.25 1.25–5.25 0.71–5.78 | 10.17 5.96–14.39 4.85–15.49 | 84% |
| Possession % | 58.04 51.25–64.83 49.58–66.50 | 41.25 34.46–48.03 32.79–49.70 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 569 502–636 484–655 | 405 338–471 321–489 | 974 840–1108 805–1143 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.04 73.02–81.07 71.72–82.37 | 71.87 67.54–76.19 66.23–77.50 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.90 6.47–13.66 | 9.71 6.77–12.66 6.02–13.41 | 19.77 13.99–25.56 12.49–27.06 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.71 0.62–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 3.65 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.49 | 44% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.16 0.11–2.21 0.00–2.47 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 2.92 0.74–5.10 0.18–5.66 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 4.57 3.01–6.13 2.59–6.55 | 6.77 3.78–9.77 2.97–10.58 | 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+