Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.222.64safe0.45–2.390.36–2.070.81–4.46safer0.20–2.640.13–2.300.33–4.94
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.893.888.77safe3.02–6.752.14–5.635.16–12.37safer2.53–7.241.67–6.094.21–13.33
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5312.9927.52safe10.60–18.459.43–16.5520.03–35.01safer9.51–19.558.47–17.5117.98–37.06
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.978.0817.05safe6.03–11.915.40–10.7611.43–22.67safer5.20–12.744.66–11.509.86–24.24
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.923.257.17safe2.04–5.801.60–4.903.63–10.70safer1.49–6.351.10–5.392.60–11.74
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.364.7710.13safe3.15–7.582.77–6.775.92–14.35safer2.58–8.152.24–7.304.81–15.45
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction50.9548.24safe44.16–57.7441.46–55.03safer42.49–59.4139.79–56.70
Passes
69%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction458397854safe391–525330–463721–988safer372–543313–481685–1024
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction69.5469.07safe65.51–73.5764.75–73.40safer64.22–74.8763.44–74.71
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3511.0824.43safe10.51–16.198.14–14.0318.65–30.22safer9.76–16.947.39–14.7817.15–31.72
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.332.86safe0.37–2.690.24–2.420.60–5.11safer0.07–2.990.00–2.710.01–5.70
Yellow cards
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.523.19safe0.62–2.720.39–2.651.01–5.36safer0.35–2.980.10–2.940.45–5.92
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.496.33safe1.41–4.281.94–5.053.34–9.33safer1.02–4.671.51–5.472.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.22 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.30 | 2.64 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.02–6.75 2.53–7.24 | 3.88 2.14–5.63 1.67–6.09 | 8.77 5.16–12.37 4.21–13.33 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.53 10.60–18.45 9.51–19.55 | 12.99 9.43–16.55 8.47–17.51 | 27.52 20.03–35.01 17.98–37.06 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.97 6.03–11.91 5.20–12.74 | 8.08 5.40–10.76 4.66–11.50 | 17.05 11.43–22.67 9.86–24.24 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.04–5.80 1.49–6.35 | 3.25 1.60–4.90 1.10–5.39 | 7.17 3.63–10.70 2.60–11.74 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.36 3.15–7.58 2.58–8.15 | 4.77 2.77–6.77 2.24–7.30 | 10.13 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.45 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 50.95 44.16–57.74 42.49–59.41 | 48.24 41.46–55.03 39.79–56.70 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 458 391–525 372–543 | 397 330–463 313–481 | 854 721–988 685–1024 | 69% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.54 65.51–73.57 64.22–74.87 | 69.07 64.75–73.40 63.44–74.71 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 13.35 10.51–16.19 9.76–16.94 | 11.08 8.14–14.03 7.39–14.78 | 24.43 18.65–30.22 17.15–31.72 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 2.86 0.60–5.11 0.01–5.70 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 1.52 0.39–2.65 0.10–2.94 | 3.19 1.01–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.41–4.28 1.02–4.67 | 3.49 1.94–5.05 1.51–5.47 | 6.33 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.