Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.282.86safe0.61–2.550.43–2.131.04–4.68safer0.36–2.800.20–2.360.56–5.16
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.933.998.92safe3.07–6.792.25–5.745.32–12.53safer2.58–7.281.78–6.204.36–13.48
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9511.6426.59safe11.03–18.888.07–15.2019.10–34.08safer9.94–19.977.11–16.1617.05–36.13
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction9.747.7317.47safe6.80–12.695.05–10.4111.85–23.10safer5.97–13.514.31–11.1510.28–24.67
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.117.02safe2.02–5.791.46–4.763.48–10.55safer1.48–6.330.97–5.262.45–11.59
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.674.4110.09safe3.46–7.892.41–6.415.87–14.30safer2.89–8.461.88–6.954.77–15.41
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.4444.91safe47.65–61.2338.12–51.69safer45.98–62.9036.45–53.37
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction485395879safe417–552328–461746–1013safer399–570311–479710–1049
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction71.9070.09safe67.87–75.9365.77–74.42safer66.58–77.2364.46–75.73
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2112.5225.73safe10.37–16.059.58–15.4719.95–31.52safer9.62–16.818.83–16.2218.45–33.02
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.743.26safe0.36–2.680.64–2.831.00–5.51safer0.06–2.980.36–3.120.41–6.10
Yellow cards
34%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.813.41safe0.55–2.650.68–2.941.23–5.59safer0.29–2.920.39–3.230.68–6.15
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.345.88safe1.10–3.971.79–4.902.88–8.87safer0.71–4.361.36–5.322.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.28 0.43–2.13 0.20–2.36 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.79 2.58–7.28 | 3.99 2.25–5.74 1.78–6.20 | 8.92 5.32–12.53 4.36–13.48 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.95 11.03–18.88 9.94–19.97 | 11.64 8.07–15.20 7.11–16.16 | 26.59 19.10–34.08 17.05–36.13 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.74 6.80–12.69 5.97–13.51 | 7.73 5.05–10.41 4.31–11.15 | 17.47 11.85–23.10 10.28–24.67 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.02–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 3.11 1.46–4.76 0.97–5.26 | 7.02 3.48–10.55 2.45–11.59 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.46–7.89 2.89–8.46 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.88–6.95 | 10.09 5.87–14.30 4.77–15.41 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 54.44 47.65–61.23 45.98–62.90 | 44.91 38.12–51.69 36.45–53.37 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 485 417–552 399–570 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 879 746–1013 710–1049 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.90 67.87–75.93 66.58–77.23 | 70.09 65.77–74.42 64.46–75.73 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 13.21 10.37–16.05 9.62–16.81 | 12.52 9.58–15.47 8.83–16.22 | 25.73 19.95–31.52 18.45–33.02 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.26 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 34% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.34 1.79–4.90 1.36–5.32 | 5.88 2.88–8.87 2.07–9.68 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.