Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.910.753.66safe1.94–3.880.00–1.611.84–5.48safer1.69–4.130.00–1.841.36–5.96
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction8.183.2311.42safe6.32–10.051.49–4.977.81–15.02safer5.83–10.541.02–5.446.85–15.98
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction22.799.2632.05safe18.87–26.725.70–12.8224.57–39.54safer17.78–27.814.74–13.7822.52–41.59
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction15.185.2420.42safe12.24–18.122.56–7.9214.80–26.04safer11.41–18.951.82–8.6613.23–27.61
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.762.658.41safe3.88–7.641.00–4.304.88–11.95safer3.34–8.190.51–4.803.84–12.98
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction8.293.4311.71safe6.07–10.501.43–5.437.50–15.93safer5.50–11.070.89–5.966.39–17.03
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.7136.46safe56.92–70.5029.67–43.24safer55.25–72.1728.00–44.91
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction620348968safe553–687281–414834–1101safer534–705264–432798–1137
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction75.2267.01safe71.19–79.2562.68–71.33safer69.90–80.5461.37–72.64
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8410.5719.41safe6.00–11.677.63–13.5213.63–25.19safer5.24–12.436.88–14.2712.12–26.70
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.333.10safe0.61–2.930.24–2.420.84–5.35safer0.31–3.230.00–2.710.26–5.94
Yellow cards
22%
27%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction0.841.462.31safe0.00–1.890.33–2.590.13–4.49safer0.00–2.160.04–2.880.00–5.04
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.455.307.75safe1.02–3.893.74–6.854.76–10.74safer0.63–4.283.32–7.283.95–11.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.91 1.94–3.88 1.69–4.13 | 0.75 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 3.66 1.84–5.48 1.36–5.96 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 8.18 6.32–10.05 5.83–10.54 | 3.23 1.49–4.97 1.02–5.44 | 11.42 7.81–15.02 6.85–15.98 | 91% |
| Total shots | 22.79 18.87–26.72 17.78–27.81 | 9.26 5.70–12.82 4.74–13.78 | 32.05 24.57–39.54 22.52–41.59 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 15.18 12.24–18.12 11.41–18.95 | 5.24 2.56–7.92 1.82–8.66 | 20.42 14.80–26.04 13.23–27.61 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.76 3.88–7.64 3.34–8.19 | 2.65 1.00–4.30 0.51–4.80 | 8.41 4.88–11.95 3.84–12.98 | 82% |
| Corners | 8.29 6.07–10.50 5.50–11.07 | 3.43 1.43–5.43 0.89–5.96 | 11.71 7.50–15.93 6.39–17.03 | 90% |
| Possession % | 63.71 56.92–70.50 55.25–72.17 | 36.46 29.67–43.24 28.00–44.91 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 620 553–687 534–705 | 348 281–414 264–432 | 968 834–1101 798–1137 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.22 71.19–79.25 69.90–80.54 | 67.01 62.68–71.33 61.37–72.64 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 8.84 6.00–11.67 5.24–12.43 | 10.57 7.63–13.52 6.88–14.27 | 19.41 13.63–25.19 12.12–26.70 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.10 0.84–5.35 0.26–5.94 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 0.84 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.16 | 1.46 0.33–2.59 0.04–2.88 | 2.31 0.13–4.49 0.00–5.04 | 22% 27% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 5.30 3.74–6.85 3.32–7.28 | 7.75 4.76–10.74 3.95–11.56 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.