Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
18%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.282.553.83safe0.32–2.251.69–3.402.01–5.65safer0.06–2.501.46–3.631.53–6.13
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction4.106.8210.92safe2.24–5.965.08–8.567.31–14.52safer1.75–6.454.61–9.036.36–15.48
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8418.0630.90safe8.91–16.7614.50–21.6223.41–38.39safer7.82–17.8513.54–22.5821.36–40.44
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction8.1911.9020.09safe5.25–11.149.22–14.5814.47–25.72safer4.42–11.978.48–15.3212.90–27.28
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.595.709.29safe1.71–5.474.05–7.355.76–12.83safer1.17–6.023.55–7.844.72–13.86
Corners
23%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.496.4210.91safe2.28–6.714.42–8.426.70–15.12safer1.71–7.283.88–8.955.59–16.23
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.7862.10safe31.99–45.5755.32–68.89safer30.32–47.2453.65–70.56
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction367586952safe300–434519–652819–1086safer281–452502–670783–1122
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction64.7879.45safe60.75–68.8175.13–83.78safer59.46–70.1073.82–85.09
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1910.0219.21safe6.35–12.037.08–12.9713.43–24.99safer5.60–12.786.33–13.7111.92–26.50
Offsides
39%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.342.74safe0.24–2.560.24–2.430.48–4.99safer0.00–2.860.00–2.720.00–5.58
Yellow cards
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.332.67safe0.30–2.390.20–2.460.50–4.85safer0.03–2.660.00–2.750.00–5.41
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.322.697.00safe2.88–5.751.13–4.244.01–10.00safer2.49–6.140.71–4.673.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.32–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 2.55 1.69–3.40 1.46–3.63 | 3.83 2.01–5.65 1.53–6.13 | 18% 18% 65% |
| Shots on target | 4.10 2.24–5.96 1.75–6.45 | 6.82 5.08–8.56 4.61–9.03 | 10.92 7.31–14.52 6.36–15.48 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 12.84 8.91–16.76 7.82–17.85 | 18.06 14.50–21.62 13.54–22.58 | 30.90 23.41–38.39 21.36–40.44 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 8.19 5.25–11.14 4.42–11.97 | 11.90 9.22–14.58 8.48–15.32 | 20.09 14.47–25.72 12.90–27.28 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.71–5.47 1.17–6.02 | 5.70 4.05–7.35 3.55–7.84 | 9.29 5.76–12.83 4.72–13.86 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 4.49 2.28–6.71 1.71–7.28 | 6.42 4.42–8.42 3.88–8.95 | 10.91 6.70–15.12 5.59–16.23 | 23% 67% |
| Possession % | 38.78 31.99–45.57 30.32–47.24 | 62.10 55.32–68.89 53.65–70.56 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 367 300–434 281–452 | 586 519–652 502–670 | 952 819–1086 783–1122 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.78 60.75–68.81 59.46–70.10 | 79.45 75.13–83.78 73.82–85.09 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 9.19 6.35–12.03 5.60–12.78 | 10.02 7.08–12.97 6.33–13.71 | 19.21 13.43–24.99 11.92–26.50 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 2.74 0.48–4.99 0.00–5.58 | 39% 26% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 1.33 0.20–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 2.67 0.50–4.85 0.00–5.41 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 4.32 2.88–5.75 2.49–6.14 | 2.69 1.13–4.24 0.71–4.67 | 7.00 4.01–10.00 3.20–10.81 | 66% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.