Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.113.19safe1.12–3.050.25–1.961.37–5.01safer0.87–3.310.02–2.190.89–5.49
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.413.8310.25safe4.55–8.282.09–5.576.64–13.85safer4.06–8.771.62–6.045.69–14.81
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5011.5129.01safe13.57–21.427.95–15.0721.52–36.49safer12.48–22.516.99–16.0319.47–38.54
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction11.807.4719.28safe8.86–14.744.79–10.1613.65–24.90safer8.03–15.574.06–10.8912.09–26.47
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.733.247.97safe2.84–6.611.59–4.894.43–11.50safer2.30–7.151.09–5.383.40–12.54
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.374.3010.67safe4.16–8.582.30–6.306.45–14.88safer3.58–9.161.76–6.835.34–15.99
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction55.8344.07safe49.04–62.6237.29–50.86safer47.37–64.2935.62–52.53
Passes
80%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction487384872safe420–555318–451738–1005safer402–573300–468702–1041
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction70.3169.08safe66.28–74.3464.76–73.41safer64.99–75.6363.45–74.71
Fouls
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4413.0322.47safe6.61–12.2810.08–15.9716.69–28.25safer5.85–13.049.34–16.7215.19–29.76
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.342.99safe0.48–2.800.25–2.440.73–5.24safer0.18–3.110.00–2.730.15–5.83
Yellow cards
21%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.872.94safe0.02–2.120.74–3.000.76–5.12safer0.00–2.380.45–3.290.20–5.67
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.814.387.19safe1.37–4.242.83–5.944.20–10.18safer0.98–4.632.40–6.363.38–10.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.12–3.05 0.87–3.31 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.41 4.55–8.28 4.06–8.77 | 3.83 2.09–5.57 1.62–6.04 | 10.25 6.64–13.85 5.69–14.81 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.50 13.57–21.42 12.48–22.51 | 11.51 7.95–15.07 6.99–16.03 | 29.01 21.52–36.49 19.47–38.54 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 11.80 8.86–14.74 8.03–15.57 | 7.47 4.79–10.16 4.06–10.89 | 19.28 13.65–24.90 12.09–26.47 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.84–6.61 2.30–7.15 | 3.24 1.59–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 7.97 4.43–11.50 3.40–12.54 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.37 4.16–8.58 3.58–9.16 | 4.30 2.30–6.30 1.76–6.83 | 10.67 6.45–14.88 5.34–15.99 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 55.83 49.04–62.62 47.37–64.29 | 44.07 37.29–50.86 35.62–52.53 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 487 420–555 402–573 | 384 318–451 300–468 | 872 738–1005 702–1041 | 80% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.31 66.28–74.34 64.99–75.63 | 69.08 64.76–73.41 63.45–74.71 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 9.44 6.61–12.28 5.85–13.04 | 13.03 10.08–15.97 9.34–16.72 | 22.47 16.69–28.25 15.19–29.76 | 19% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 1.34 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 2.99 0.73–5.24 0.15–5.83 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.07 0.02–2.12 0.00–2.38 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 2.94 0.76–5.12 0.20–5.67 | 21% 22% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 4.38 2.83–5.94 2.40–6.36 | 7.19 4.20–10.18 3.38–10.99 | 22% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.