Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
21%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.163.22safe1.09–3.030.30–2.011.40–5.04safer0.84–3.280.08–2.240.92–5.52
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.554.2310.78safe4.68–8.412.49–5.977.17–14.38safer4.19–8.902.02–6.446.21–15.34
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction19.7311.9331.67safe15.81–23.668.37–15.4924.18–39.15safer14.72–24.757.41–16.4522.13–41.20
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction12.797.6720.46safe9.85–15.734.98–10.3514.83–26.08safer9.02–16.564.25–11.0813.27–27.65
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.842.948.78safe3.96–7.721.28–4.595.24–12.31safer3.41–8.270.79–5.084.21–13.35
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.253.9611.22safe5.04–9.471.96–5.967.00–15.43safer4.47–10.041.43–6.505.90–16.54
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.2738.77safe54.48–68.0631.99–45.56safer52.81–69.7330.32–47.23
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction554357911safe487–621291–424778–1045safer469–640273–441742–1081
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction75.6768.87safe71.64–79.7064.55–73.19safer70.34–80.9963.24–74.50
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5112.1921.70safe6.67–12.359.24–15.1315.91–27.48safer5.91–13.108.50–15.8814.41–28.98
Offsides
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.743.09safe0.19–2.510.65–2.830.84–5.34safer0.00–2.810.36–3.120.25–5.93
Yellow cards
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.813.03safe0.17–2.270.68–2.940.85–5.21safer0.00–2.540.39–3.230.30–5.77
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.694.597.27safe1.25–4.123.03–6.144.28–10.27safer0.86–4.512.61–6.573.47–11.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 1.09–3.03 0.84–3.28 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 3.22 1.40–5.04 0.92–5.52 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.55 4.68–8.41 4.19–8.90 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 10.78 7.17–14.38 6.21–15.34 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 19.73 15.81–23.66 14.72–24.75 | 11.93 8.37–15.49 7.41–16.45 | 31.67 24.18–39.15 22.13–41.20 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 12.79 9.85–15.73 9.02–16.56 | 7.67 4.98–10.35 4.25–11.08 | 20.46 14.83–26.08 13.27–27.65 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 5.84 3.96–7.72 3.41–8.27 | 2.94 1.28–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 8.78 5.24–12.31 4.21–13.35 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.25 5.04–9.47 4.47–10.04 | 3.96 1.96–5.96 1.43–6.50 | 11.22 7.00–15.43 5.90–16.54 | 80% |
| Possession % | 61.27 54.48–68.06 52.81–69.73 | 38.77 31.99–45.56 30.32–47.23 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 554 487–621 469–640 | 357 291–424 273–441 | 911 778–1045 742–1081 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.67 71.64–79.70 70.34–80.99 | 68.87 64.55–73.19 63.24–74.50 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 9.51 6.67–12.35 5.91–13.10 | 12.19 9.24–15.13 8.50–15.88 | 21.70 15.91–27.48 14.41–28.98 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 1.74 0.65–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.17–2.27 0.00–2.54 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.03 0.85–5.21 0.30–5.77 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 4.59 3.03–6.14 2.61–6.57 | 7.27 4.28–10.27 3.47–11.08 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.