Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.710.992.71safe0.75–2.680.14–1.850.88–4.53safer0.49–2.930.00–2.080.40–5.01
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.403.468.85safe3.53–7.261.71–5.205.25–12.46safer3.04–7.751.25–5.664.29–13.41
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9810.5527.53safe13.05–20.906.99–14.1220.05–35.02safer11.96–22.006.03–15.0817.99–37.07
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.626.5916.21safe6.68–12.563.91–9.2710.58–21.83safer5.85–13.393.17–10.019.02–23.40
Blocked shots
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.352.897.24safe2.46–6.231.24–4.553.70–10.77safer1.92–6.770.75–5.042.67–11.81
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.993.899.88safe3.78–8.201.89–5.895.67–14.10safer3.20–8.781.36–6.434.56–15.20
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction57.9641.48safe51.17–64.7534.70–48.27safer49.50–66.4233.03–49.94
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction529350879safe461–596284–417745–1013safer443–614266–434710–1048
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction71.6868.31safe67.65–75.7163.99–72.64safer66.36–77.0062.68–73.95
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9511.9322.88safe8.11–13.788.99–14.8817.10–28.66safer7.35–14.548.24–15.6315.59–30.17
Offsides
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.663.13safe0.31–2.630.56–2.750.88–5.38safer0.01–2.940.27–3.040.29–5.97
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.113.63safe0.48–2.580.98–3.241.46–5.81safer0.21–2.840.69–3.530.90–6.37
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.403.656.05safe0.96–3.832.09–5.213.05–9.04safer0.57–4.221.67–5.632.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.75–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.71 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.53–7.26 3.04–7.75 | 3.46 1.71–5.20 1.25–5.66 | 8.85 5.25–12.46 4.29–13.41 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.98 13.05–20.90 11.96–22.00 | 10.55 6.99–14.12 6.03–15.08 | 27.53 20.05–35.02 17.99–37.07 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 9.62 6.68–12.56 5.85–13.39 | 6.59 3.91–9.27 3.17–10.01 | 16.21 10.58–21.83 9.02–23.40 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.46–6.23 1.92–6.77 | 2.89 1.24–4.55 0.75–5.04 | 7.24 3.70–10.77 2.67–11.81 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.78–8.20 3.20–8.78 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.36–6.43 | 9.88 5.67–14.10 4.56–15.20 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 57.96 51.17–64.75 49.50–66.42 | 41.48 34.70–48.27 33.03–49.94 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 529 461–596 443–614 | 350 284–417 266–434 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.68 67.65–75.71 66.36–77.00 | 68.31 63.99–72.64 62.68–73.95 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 10.95 8.11–13.78 7.35–14.54 | 11.93 8.99–14.88 8.24–15.63 | 22.88 17.10–28.66 15.59–30.17 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.94 | 1.66 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.04 | 3.13 0.88–5.38 0.29–5.97 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.63 1.46–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 3.65 2.09–5.21 1.67–5.63 | 6.05 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.