Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction1.253.194.44safe0.29–2.222.33–4.042.62–6.26safer0.03–2.472.10–4.272.14–6.74
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.897.6011.48safe2.02–5.755.85–9.347.88–15.09safer1.53–6.245.39–9.806.92–16.04
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8519.6531.50safe7.92–15.7716.09–23.2124.01–38.98safer6.83–16.8615.13–24.1721.96–41.03
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9012.9719.87safe3.96–9.8510.29–15.6514.25–25.49safer3.13–10.689.55–16.3812.68–27.06
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.455.559.00safe1.57–5.343.89–7.205.47–12.54safer1.03–5.883.40–7.694.43–13.57
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.996.6010.59safe1.78–6.214.60–8.606.38–14.80safer1.21–6.784.06–9.135.27–15.91
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction41.9758.09safe35.18–48.7651.30–64.87safer33.51–50.4349.63–66.54
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction384522905safe316–451455–588772–1039safer298–469438–606736–1075
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction65.6778.14safe61.65–69.7073.81–82.46safer60.35–71.0072.50–83.77
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5710.6420.21safe6.73–12.417.69–13.5814.42–25.99safer5.98–13.166.94–14.3312.92–27.49
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.693.33safe0.48–2.800.59–2.781.07–5.58safer0.18–3.100.30–3.070.48–6.17
Yellow cards
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.282.87safe0.53–2.630.15–2.410.69–5.04safer0.27–2.900.00–2.700.13–5.60
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.250.00–0.50safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.742.837.57safe3.31–6.181.27–4.394.58–10.57safer2.92–6.570.85–4.813.77–11.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.29–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 3.19 2.33–4.04 2.10–4.27 | 4.44 2.62–6.26 2.14–6.74 | 13% 75% |
| Shots on target | 3.89 2.02–5.75 1.53–6.24 | 7.60 5.85–9.34 5.39–9.80 | 11.48 7.88–15.09 6.92–16.04 | 83% |
| Total shots | 11.85 7.92–15.77 6.83–16.86 | 19.65 16.09–23.21 15.13–24.17 | 31.50 24.01–38.98 21.96–41.03 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 6.90 3.96–9.85 3.13–10.68 | 12.97 10.29–15.65 9.55–16.38 | 19.87 14.25–25.49 12.68–27.06 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.57–5.34 1.03–5.88 | 5.55 3.89–7.20 3.40–7.69 | 9.00 5.47–12.54 4.43–13.57 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 3.99 1.78–6.21 1.21–6.78 | 6.60 4.60–8.60 4.06–9.13 | 10.59 6.38–14.80 5.27–15.91 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 41.97 35.18–48.76 33.51–50.43 | 58.09 51.30–64.87 49.63–66.54 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 384 316–451 298–469 | 522 455–588 438–606 | 905 772–1039 736–1075 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.67 61.65–69.70 60.35–71.00 | 78.14 73.81–82.46 72.50–83.77 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 9.57 6.73–12.41 5.98–13.16 | 10.64 7.69–13.58 6.94–14.33 | 20.21 14.42–25.99 12.92–27.49 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.69 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.07 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 1.28 0.15–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 2.87 0.69–5.04 0.13–5.60 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.74 3.31–6.18 2.92–6.57 | 2.83 1.27–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 7.57 4.58–10.57 3.77–11.38 | 70% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+