Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.212.053.27safe0.25–2.181.20–2.911.45–5.09safer0.00–2.430.97–3.140.97–5.57
Shots on target
28%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.626.0210.64safe2.76–6.484.28–7.767.04–14.25safer2.27–6.973.81–8.236.08–15.20
Total shots
29%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7116.2629.97safe9.79–17.6412.70–19.8222.49–37.46safer8.69–18.7311.74–20.7820.43–39.51
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4310.7719.20safe5.49–11.378.09–13.4513.58–24.82safer4.66–12.207.35–14.1912.01–26.39
Blocked shots
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.454.317.76safe1.57–5.342.65–5.964.23–11.30safer1.03–5.882.16–6.453.19–12.33
Corners
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.346.1210.46safe2.13–6.554.12–8.126.25–14.68safer1.55–7.133.59–8.665.14–15.78
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.8059.20safe34.01–47.6052.42–65.99safer32.34–49.2650.74–67.66
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction359511870safe292–426445–578737–1004safer273–444427–595701–1040
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction67.5978.69safe63.56–71.6274.36–83.01safer62.27–72.9173.05–84.32
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2812.1124.39safe9.44–15.129.17–15.0518.61–30.17safer8.69–15.878.42–15.8017.10–31.68
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.393.36safe0.81–3.130.30–2.491.11–5.61safer0.50–3.430.01–2.770.52–6.20
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.893.61safe0.67–2.770.76–3.021.43–5.79safer0.40–3.040.47–3.310.87–6.34
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
56%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.057.04safe2.55–5.421.50–4.614.04–10.03safer2.16–5.811.07–5.033.23–10.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.25–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 2.05 1.20–2.91 0.97–3.14 | 3.27 1.45–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Shots on target | 4.62 2.76–6.48 2.27–6.97 | 6.02 4.28–7.76 3.81–8.23 | 10.64 7.04–14.25 6.08–15.20 | 28% 61% |
| Total shots | 13.71 9.79–17.64 8.69–18.73 | 16.26 12.70–19.82 11.74–20.78 | 29.97 22.49–37.46 20.43–39.51 | 29% 65% |
| Shots in box | 8.43 5.49–11.37 4.66–12.20 | 10.77 8.09–13.45 7.35–14.19 | 19.20 13.58–24.82 12.01–26.39 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.57–5.34 1.03–5.88 | 4.31 2.65–5.96 2.16–6.45 | 7.76 4.23–11.30 3.19–12.33 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.13–6.55 1.55–7.13 | 6.12 4.12–8.12 3.59–8.66 | 10.46 6.25–14.68 5.14–15.78 | 24% 65% |
| Possession % | 40.80 34.01–47.60 32.34–49.26 | 59.20 52.42–65.99 50.74–67.66 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 359 292–426 273–444 | 511 445–578 427–595 | 870 737–1004 701–1040 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.59 63.56–71.62 62.27–72.91 | 78.69 74.36–83.01 73.05–84.32 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.28 9.44–15.12 8.69–15.87 | 12.11 9.17–15.05 8.42–15.80 | 24.39 18.61–30.17 17.10–31.68 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.50–3.43 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.77 | 3.36 1.11–5.61 0.52–6.20 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.04 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.87–6.34 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.98 2.55–5.42 2.16–5.81 | 3.05 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.03 | 7.04 4.04–10.03 3.23–10.84 | 56% 14% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.