Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.632.94safe0.34–2.270.78–2.491.11–4.76safer0.09–2.520.55–2.710.63–5.24
Shots on target
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.665.199.85safe2.79–6.523.45–6.946.24–13.45safer2.30–7.012.98–7.405.29–14.41
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0314.7228.75safe10.10–17.9511.16–18.2821.26–36.24safer9.01–19.0410.20–19.2419.21–38.29
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.769.0017.76safe5.82–11.706.32–11.6812.14–23.38safer4.99–12.535.58–12.4210.57–24.95
Blocked shots
36%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.453.937.37safe1.56–5.332.28–5.583.84–10.91safer1.02–5.871.78–6.072.80–11.94
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.954.999.93safe2.73–7.162.99–6.995.72–14.15safer2.16–7.742.45–7.524.61–15.25
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.4652.87safe39.67–53.2546.09–59.66safer38.00–54.9244.42–61.33
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction421473894safe354–489407–540761–1028safer336–507389–557725–1064
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction67.2473.59safe63.21–71.2769.27–77.92safer61.92–72.5667.96–79.23
Fouls
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8110.8823.69safe9.97–15.657.94–13.8217.91–29.47safer9.22–16.417.19–14.5716.40–30.98
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.743.67safe0.77–3.090.65–2.831.42–5.93safer0.47–3.390.36–3.120.83–6.52
Yellow cards
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.453.27safe0.77–2.860.32–2.581.09–5.44safer0.50–3.130.03–2.870.53–6.00
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.413.156.56safe1.97–4.851.59–4.713.57–9.55safer1.59–5.231.17–5.132.76–10.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.52 | 1.63 0.78–2.49 0.55–2.71 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.79–6.52 2.30–7.01 | 5.19 3.45–6.94 2.98–7.40 | 9.85 6.24–13.45 5.29–14.41 | 37% 50% |
| Total shots | 14.03 10.10–17.95 9.01–19.04 | 14.72 11.16–18.28 10.20–19.24 | 28.75 21.26–36.24 19.21–38.29 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.76 5.82–11.70 4.99–12.53 | 9.00 6.32–11.68 5.58–12.42 | 17.76 12.14–23.38 10.57–24.95 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.56–5.33 1.02–5.87 | 3.93 2.28–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 7.37 3.84–10.91 2.80–11.94 | 36% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.95 2.73–7.16 2.16–7.74 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.45–7.52 | 9.93 5.72–14.15 4.61–15.25 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 46.46 39.67–53.25 38.00–54.92 | 52.87 46.09–59.66 44.42–61.33 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 421 354–489 336–507 | 473 407–540 389–557 | 894 761–1028 725–1064 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.24 63.21–71.27 61.92–72.56 | 73.59 69.27–77.92 67.96–79.23 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 12.81 9.97–15.65 9.22–16.41 | 10.88 7.94–13.82 7.19–14.57 | 23.69 17.91–29.47 16.40–30.98 | 62% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 1.74 0.65–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.67 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.77–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 1.45 0.32–2.58 0.03–2.87 | 3.27 1.09–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.41 1.97–4.85 1.59–5.23 | 3.15 1.59–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 6.56 3.57–9.55 2.76–10.37 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+