Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.190.934.12safe2.22–4.160.08–1.792.30–5.94safer1.97–4.410.00–2.021.82–6.42
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction8.043.3311.37safe6.18–9.901.59–5.077.76–14.97safer5.69–10.391.12–5.546.81–15.93
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.659.3130.96safe17.73–25.585.75–12.8723.47–38.45safer16.63–26.674.79–13.8321.42–40.50
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction15.096.3121.40safe12.15–18.033.63–8.9915.78–27.02safer11.32–18.862.89–9.7314.21–28.59
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.982.378.35safe4.10–7.870.71–4.024.81–11.89safer3.56–8.410.22–4.513.78–12.92
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction8.343.2811.63safe6.13–10.561.28–5.287.42–15.84safer5.56–11.130.75–5.826.31–16.95
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.5233.30safe59.73–73.3126.52–40.09safer58.06–74.9824.85–41.76
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction646313959safe578–713247–380825–1093safer560–731229–397790–1128
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction79.2567.88safe75.22–83.2863.56–72.20safer73.93–84.5762.25–73.51
Fouls
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9810.4819.46safe6.14–11.827.53–13.4213.68–25.24safer5.39–12.586.79–14.1712.17–26.75
Offsides
56%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.113.03safe0.76–3.080.02–2.200.78–5.28safer0.46–3.380.00–2.490.19–5.87
Yellow cards
19%
24%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction0.851.682.52safe0.00–1.900.55–2.810.35–4.70safer0.00–2.160.26–3.100.00–5.26
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.255.457.70safe0.81–3.693.90–7.014.71–10.69safer0.43–4.073.47–7.433.90–11.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.19 2.22–4.16 1.97–4.41 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 4.12 2.30–5.94 1.82–6.42 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 8.04 6.18–9.90 5.69–10.39 | 3.33 1.59–5.07 1.12–5.54 | 11.37 7.76–14.97 6.81–15.93 | 90% |
| Total shots | 21.65 17.73–25.58 16.63–26.67 | 9.31 5.75–12.87 4.79–13.83 | 30.96 23.47–38.45 21.42–40.50 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 15.09 12.15–18.03 11.32–18.86 | 6.31 3.63–8.99 2.89–9.73 | 21.40 15.78–27.02 14.21–28.59 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.98 4.10–7.87 3.56–8.41 | 2.37 0.71–4.02 0.22–4.51 | 8.35 4.81–11.89 3.78–12.92 | 86% |
| Corners | 8.34 6.13–10.56 5.56–11.13 | 3.28 1.28–5.28 0.75–5.82 | 11.63 7.42–15.84 6.31–16.95 | 91% |
| Possession % | 66.52 59.73–73.31 58.06–74.98 | 33.30 26.52–40.09 24.85–41.76 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 646 578–713 560–731 | 313 247–380 229–397 | 959 825–1093 790–1128 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.25 75.22–83.28 73.93–84.57 | 67.88 63.56–72.20 62.25–73.51 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 8.98 6.14–11.82 5.39–12.58 | 10.48 7.53–13.42 6.79–14.17 | 19.46 13.68–25.24 12.17–26.75 | 32% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.11 0.02–2.20 0.00–2.49 | 3.03 0.78–5.28 0.19–5.87 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 0.85 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.16 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 2.52 0.35–4.70 0.00–5.26 | 19% 24% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.25 0.81–3.69 0.43–4.07 | 5.45 3.90–7.01 3.47–7.43 | 7.70 4.71–10.69 3.90–11.51 | 84% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.