Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.933.22safe0.33–2.261.07–2.781.40–5.05safer0.08–2.520.85–3.010.92–5.53
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.125.489.61safe2.26–5.993.74–7.236.00–13.21safer1.77–6.483.27–7.695.05–14.17
Total shots
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3114.2927.60safe9.39–17.2410.72–17.8520.11–35.09safer8.30–18.339.77–18.8118.06–37.14
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction8.429.9118.33safe5.47–11.367.23–12.5912.70–23.95safer4.65–12.196.49–13.3311.14–25.52
Blocked shots
43%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.927.90safe2.09–5.862.27–5.584.36–11.43safer1.55–6.401.78–6.073.33–12.47
Corners
32%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.735.7710.50safe2.51–6.943.77–7.776.28–14.71safer1.94–7.513.24–8.315.18–15.82
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.2451.77safe41.45–55.0344.99–58.56safer39.78–56.7043.32–60.23
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction442452894safe375–509386–519760–1028safer356–527368–536725–1064
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction69.7373.85safe65.70–73.7669.52–78.17safer64.41–75.0568.22–79.48
Fouls
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8311.1821.01safe6.99–12.678.23–14.1215.23–26.79safer6.24–13.427.48–14.8713.72–28.30
Offsides
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.613.00safe0.23–2.550.52–2.700.75–5.26safer0.00–2.850.23–2.990.16–5.84
Yellow cards
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.603.01safe0.36–2.460.47–2.730.83–5.19safer0.09–2.730.18–3.020.28–5.75
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.632.886.51safe2.19–5.071.32–4.443.52–9.50safer1.81–5.450.90–4.862.71–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.26 0.08–2.52 | 1.93 1.07–2.78 0.85–3.01 | 3.22 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.53 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.12 2.26–5.99 1.77–6.48 | 5.48 3.74–7.23 3.27–7.69 | 9.61 6.00–13.21 5.05–14.17 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 13.31 9.39–17.24 8.30–18.33 | 14.29 10.72–17.85 9.77–18.81 | 27.60 20.11–35.09 18.06–37.14 | 39% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.42 5.47–11.36 4.65–12.19 | 9.91 7.23–12.59 6.49–13.33 | 18.33 12.70–23.95 11.14–25.52 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 3.92 2.27–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 7.90 4.36–11.43 3.33–12.47 | 43% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.51 | 5.77 3.77–7.77 3.24–8.31 | 10.50 6.28–14.71 5.18–15.82 | 32% 57% |
| Possession % | 48.24 41.45–55.03 39.78–56.70 | 51.77 44.99–58.56 43.32–60.23 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 442 375–509 356–527 | 452 386–519 368–536 | 894 760–1028 725–1064 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.73 65.70–73.76 64.41–75.05 | 73.85 69.52–78.17 68.22–79.48 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 9.83 6.99–12.67 6.24–13.42 | 11.18 8.23–14.12 7.48–14.87 | 21.01 15.23–26.79 13.72–28.30 | 34% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.00 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.84 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.73 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 3.01 0.83–5.19 0.28–5.75 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.63 2.19–5.07 1.81–5.45 | 2.88 1.32–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.51 3.52–9.50 2.71–10.31 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.