Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.103.43safe1.35–3.290.25–1.961.60–5.25safer1.10–3.540.02–2.191.12–5.73
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.023.7410.75safe5.15–8.881.99–5.487.15–14.36safer4.66–9.371.53–5.946.19–15.31
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction20.5710.5231.09safe16.64–24.496.96–14.0823.60–38.58safer15.55–25.596.00–15.0421.55–40.63
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction14.726.8121.53safe11.78–17.664.13–9.4915.91–27.15safer10.95–18.493.39–10.2314.34–28.72
Blocked shots
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.843.088.92safe3.96–7.731.43–4.735.39–12.46safer3.42–8.270.93–5.234.35–13.50
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.193.9211.11safe4.97–9.401.92–5.926.89–15.32safer4.40–9.971.39–6.455.78–16.43
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.7541.57safe51.96–65.5434.78–48.35safer50.29–67.2133.11–50.02
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction556376932safe488–623310–443798–1066safer470–641292–460762–1101
Pass accuracy %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction75.4169.29safe71.38–79.4464.96–73.61safer70.09–80.7363.66–74.92
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction9.809.2719.07safe6.96–12.646.32–12.2113.29–24.85safer6.20–13.395.58–12.9611.78–26.35
Offsides
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.643.05safe0.25–2.570.54–2.730.79–5.30safer0.00–2.870.25–3.020.20–5.89
Yellow cards
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.652.77safe0.07–2.170.53–2.780.59–4.95safer0.00–2.430.23–3.070.04–5.51
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.544.507.04safe1.11–3.982.94–6.064.05–10.03safer0.72–4.372.52–6.483.24–10.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.32 1.35–3.29 1.10–3.54 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 3.43 1.60–5.25 1.12–5.73 | 65% 19% 17% |
| Shots on target | 7.02 5.15–8.88 4.66–9.37 | 3.74 1.99–5.48 1.53–5.94 | 10.75 7.15–14.36 6.19–15.31 | 80% |
| Total shots | 20.57 16.64–24.49 15.55–25.59 | 10.52 6.96–14.08 6.00–15.04 | 31.09 23.60–38.58 21.55–40.63 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 14.72 11.78–17.66 10.95–18.49 | 6.81 4.13–9.49 3.39–10.23 | 21.53 15.91–27.15 14.34–28.72 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.84 3.96–7.73 3.42–8.27 | 3.08 1.43–4.73 0.93–5.23 | 8.92 5.39–12.46 4.35–13.50 | 78% 13% |
| Corners | 7.19 4.97–9.40 4.40–9.97 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.39–6.45 | 11.11 6.89–15.32 5.78–16.43 | 80% |
| Possession % | 58.75 51.96–65.54 50.29–67.21 | 41.57 34.78–48.35 33.11–50.02 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 556 488–623 470–641 | 376 310–443 292–460 | 932 798–1066 762–1101 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.41 71.38–79.44 70.09–80.73 | 69.29 64.96–73.61 63.66–74.92 | — | 77% 20% |
| Fouls | 9.80 6.96–12.64 6.20–13.39 | 9.27 6.32–12.21 5.58–12.96 | 19.07 13.29–24.85 11.78–26.35 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 3.05 0.79–5.30 0.20–5.89 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.12 0.07–2.17 0.00–2.43 | 1.65 0.53–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 2.77 0.59–4.95 0.04–5.51 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 4.50 2.94–6.06 2.52–6.48 | 7.04 4.05–10.03 3.24–10.84 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+