Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.342.78safe0.47–2.410.49–2.200.96–4.61safer0.22–2.660.26–2.420.48–5.09
Shots on target
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.8810.33safe3.58–7.313.14–6.626.72–13.93safer3.09–7.802.67–7.095.77–14.89
Total shots
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5614.6130.16safe11.63–19.4811.04–18.1722.68–37.65safer10.54–20.5710.09–19.1320.63–39.70
Shots in box
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction9.809.9419.74safe6.86–12.747.26–12.6214.12–25.37safer6.03–13.576.52–13.3612.55–26.93
Blocked shots
58%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.217.45safe2.36–6.121.56–4.863.92–10.99safer1.82–6.671.07–5.362.88–12.02
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.435.4310.86safe3.22–7.643.43–7.436.65–15.08safer2.64–8.222.90–7.965.54–16.18
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction50.6349.03safe43.84–57.4242.24–55.81safer42.17–59.0940.57–57.48
Passes
62%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction450411861safe383–517345–478727–995safer364–535327–495692–1030
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction68.8570.50safe64.82–72.8866.18–74.83safer63.53–74.1864.87–76.13
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9210.5022.42safe9.09–14.767.55–13.4416.64–28.21safer8.33–15.526.81–14.1915.14–29.71
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.533.01safe0.32–2.640.44–2.630.76–5.26safer0.01–2.940.15–2.920.17–5.85
Yellow cards
40%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.463.04safe0.53–2.630.33–2.590.86–5.22safer0.26–2.890.04–2.880.31–5.78
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.837.01safe1.74–4.622.28–5.394.02–10.01safer1.36–5.001.85–5.823.21–10.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.34 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.42 | 2.78 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.45 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 4.88 3.14–6.62 2.67–7.09 | 10.33 6.72–13.93 5.77–14.89 | 51% 37% |
| Total shots | 15.56 11.63–19.48 10.54–20.57 | 14.61 11.04–18.17 10.09–19.13 | 30.16 22.68–37.65 20.63–39.70 | 53% 40% |
| Shots in box | 9.80 6.86–12.74 6.03–13.57 | 9.94 7.26–12.62 6.52–13.36 | 19.74 14.12–25.37 12.55–26.93 | 44% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 4.24 2.36–6.12 1.82–6.67 | 3.21 1.56–4.86 1.07–5.36 | 7.45 3.92–10.99 2.88–12.02 | 58% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.64 2.64–8.22 | 5.43 3.43–7.43 2.90–7.96 | 10.86 6.65–15.08 5.54–16.18 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 50.63 43.84–57.42 42.17–59.09 | 49.03 42.24–55.81 40.57–57.48 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 450 383–517 364–535 | 411 345–478 327–495 | 861 727–995 692–1030 | 62% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.85 64.82–72.88 63.53–74.18 | 70.50 66.18–74.83 64.87–76.13 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.09–14.76 8.33–15.52 | 10.50 7.55–13.44 6.81–14.19 | 22.42 16.64–28.21 15.14–29.71 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.01–2.94 | 1.53 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.92 | 3.01 0.76–5.26 0.17–5.85 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.26–2.89 | 1.46 0.33–2.59 0.04–2.88 | 3.04 0.86–5.22 0.31–5.78 | 40% 24% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.74–4.62 1.36–5.00 | 3.83 2.28–5.39 1.85–5.82 | 7.01 4.02–10.01 3.21–10.82 | 33% 15% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.