Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.632.95safe0.34–2.280.78–2.491.12–4.77safer0.09–2.530.55–2.720.64–5.25
Shots on target
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.655.179.82safe2.79–6.513.43–6.926.22–13.43safer2.30–7.002.96–7.385.26–14.38
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8015.0829.88safe10.88–18.7311.52–18.6522.40–37.37safer9.78–19.8210.56–19.6120.35–39.42
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.839.5418.37safe5.88–11.776.86–12.2212.75–23.99safer5.06–12.606.12–12.9611.18–25.56
Blocked shots
40%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.174.448.60safe2.28–6.052.78–6.095.07–12.14safer1.74–6.592.29–6.584.03–13.18
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.185.5510.73safe2.97–7.393.55–7.556.52–14.94safer2.39–7.973.02–8.085.41–16.05
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction45.9153.30safe39.12–52.7046.52–60.09safer37.45–54.3744.85–61.76
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction405452856safe338–472385–518723–990safer320–490368–536687–1026
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction66.7772.36safe62.74–70.8068.04–76.69safer61.45–72.0966.73–77.99
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4210.5621.98safe8.58–14.257.61–13.5016.19–27.76safer7.82–15.016.87–14.2514.69–29.26
Offsides
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.132.84safe0.55–2.870.04–2.220.59–5.10safer0.25–3.180.00–2.510.00–5.69
Yellow cards
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.432.99safe0.51–2.610.30–2.550.81–5.16safer0.25–2.880.01–2.850.25–5.72
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.246.56safe1.88–4.751.68–4.803.57–9.55safer1.49–5.141.26–5.222.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.63 0.78–2.49 0.55–2.72 | 2.95 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.51 2.30–7.00 | 5.17 3.43–6.92 2.96–7.38 | 9.82 6.22–13.43 5.26–14.38 | 37% 50% |
| Total shots | 14.80 10.88–18.73 9.78–19.82 | 15.08 11.52–18.65 10.56–19.61 | 29.88 22.40–37.37 20.35–39.42 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 8.83 5.88–11.77 5.06–12.60 | 9.54 6.86–12.22 6.12–12.96 | 18.37 12.75–23.99 11.18–25.56 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 4.17 2.28–6.05 1.74–6.59 | 4.44 2.78–6.09 2.29–6.58 | 8.60 5.07–12.14 4.03–13.18 | 40% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.39 2.39–7.97 | 5.55 3.55–7.55 3.02–8.08 | 10.73 6.52–14.94 5.41–16.05 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 45.91 39.12–52.70 37.45–54.37 | 53.30 46.52–60.09 44.85–61.76 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 405 338–472 320–490 | 452 385–518 368–536 | 856 723–990 687–1026 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.77 62.74–70.80 61.45–72.09 | 72.36 68.04–76.69 66.73–77.99 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 11.42 8.58–14.25 7.82–15.01 | 10.56 7.61–13.50 6.87–14.25 | 21.98 16.19–27.76 14.69–29.26 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.18 | 1.13 0.04–2.22 0.00–2.51 | 2.84 0.59–5.10 0.00–5.69 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 1.43 0.30–2.55 0.01–2.85 | 2.99 0.81–5.16 0.25–5.72 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 3.24 1.68–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 6.56 3.57–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.