Eredivisie·Regular Season - 33·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.550.783.33safe1.58–3.520.00–1.641.51–5.16safer1.33–3.770.00–1.871.03–5.63
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.312.9710.27safe5.44–9.171.22–4.716.67–13.88safer4.95–9.660.76–5.175.71–14.83
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.788.4029.17safe16.85–24.704.83–11.9621.68–36.66safer15.76–25.793.87–12.9219.63–38.71
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.135.3918.52safe10.19–16.072.71–8.0712.89–24.14safer9.36–16.901.97–8.8111.33–25.71
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.882.117.99safe4.00–7.760.45–3.764.45–11.52safer3.46–8.310.00–4.253.42–12.56
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.983.1211.09safe5.76–10.191.12–5.126.88–15.31safer5.19–10.760.58–5.655.77–16.41
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.3132.69safe60.52–74.1025.90–39.47safer58.85–75.7724.23–41.15
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction635317952safe568–703250–383818–1086safer550–721233–401783–1121
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction81.3466.69safe77.31–85.3762.37–71.02safer76.02–86.6661.06–72.33
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3511.6922.03safe7.51–13.188.74–14.6316.25–27.81safer6.75–13.947.99–15.3814.75–29.32
Offsides
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.633.17safe0.37–2.690.54–2.730.91–5.42safer0.07–3.000.25–3.020.33–6.01
Yellow cards
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.742.89safe0.10–2.200.61–2.870.71–5.07safer0.00–2.470.32–3.160.16–5.63
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.004.536.53safe0.56–3.432.98–6.093.54–9.52safer0.17–3.822.55–6.522.73–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.55 1.58–3.52 1.33–3.77 | 0.78 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.87 | 3.33 1.51–5.16 1.03–5.63 | 76% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.31 5.44–9.17 4.95–9.66 | 2.97 1.22–4.71 0.76–5.17 | 10.27 6.67–13.88 5.71–14.83 | 89% |
| Total shots | 20.78 16.85–24.70 15.76–25.79 | 8.40 4.83–11.96 3.87–12.92 | 29.17 21.68–36.66 19.63–38.71 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.13 10.19–16.07 9.36–16.90 | 5.39 2.71–8.07 1.97–8.81 | 18.52 12.89–24.14 11.33–25.71 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.88 4.00–7.76 3.46–8.31 | 2.11 0.45–3.76 0.00–4.25 | 7.99 4.45–11.52 3.42–12.56 | 88% |
| Corners | 7.98 5.76–10.19 5.19–10.76 | 3.12 1.12–5.12 0.58–5.65 | 11.09 6.88–15.31 5.77–16.41 | 91% |
| Possession % | 67.31 60.52–74.10 58.85–75.77 | 32.69 25.90–39.47 24.23–41.15 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 635 568–703 550–721 | 317 250–383 233–401 | 952 818–1086 783–1121 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.34 77.31–85.37 76.02–86.66 | 66.69 62.37–71.02 61.06–72.33 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.35 7.51–13.18 6.75–13.94 | 11.69 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 22.03 16.25–27.81 14.75–29.32 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–3.00 | 1.63 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 3.17 0.91–5.42 0.33–6.01 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.15 0.10–2.20 0.00–2.47 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 2.89 0.71–5.07 0.16–5.63 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.00 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 4.53 2.98–6.09 2.55–6.52 | 6.53 3.54–9.52 2.73–10.34 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.