Eredivisie·Regular Season - 33·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.733.42safe0.72–2.660.87–2.581.59–5.24safer0.47–2.910.64–2.811.11–5.72
Shots on target
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.395.4710.86safe3.53–7.263.73–7.217.26–14.47safer3.04–7.743.26–7.686.30–15.42
Total shots
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3214.8330.15safe11.40–19.2511.26–18.3922.66–37.64safer10.31–20.3410.30–19.3520.61–39.69
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.219.5719.78safe7.26–13.156.89–12.2614.16–25.40safer6.43–13.986.16–12.9912.59–26.97
Blocked shots
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.648.84safe2.32–6.092.98–6.295.31–12.38safer1.78–6.632.49–6.784.27–13.42
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.445.2710.71safe3.23–7.653.27–7.276.50–14.93safer2.65–8.232.74–7.815.39–16.03
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.7453.75safe39.95–53.5346.96–60.53safer38.28–55.2045.29–62.21
Passes
29%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction437501938safe369–504434–567804–1071safer351–522417–585768–1107
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction70.9177.00safe66.88–74.9472.68–81.33safer65.59–76.2471.37–82.63
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4010.5119.91safe6.56–12.247.56–13.4514.12–25.69safer5.81–12.996.81–14.2012.62–27.19
Offsides
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.203.02safe0.66–2.980.10–2.290.76–5.27safer0.36–3.280.00–2.580.17–5.86
Yellow cards
29%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.422.52safe0.06–2.150.29–2.540.34–4.70safer0.00–2.420.00–2.840.00–5.26
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.687.35safe2.23–5.112.12–5.234.36–10.34safer1.85–5.491.70–5.663.54–11.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.72–2.66 0.47–2.91 | 1.73 0.87–2.58 0.64–2.81 | 3.42 1.59–5.24 1.11–5.72 | 38% 23% 40% |
| Shots on target | 5.39 3.53–7.26 3.04–7.74 | 5.47 3.73–7.21 3.26–7.68 | 10.86 7.26–14.47 6.30–15.42 | 43% 45% |
| Total shots | 15.32 11.40–19.25 10.31–20.34 | 14.83 11.26–18.39 10.30–19.35 | 30.15 22.66–37.64 20.61–39.69 | 50% 43% |
| Shots in box | 10.21 7.26–13.15 6.43–13.98 | 9.57 6.89–12.26 6.16–12.99 | 19.78 14.16–25.40 12.59–26.97 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.32–6.09 1.78–6.63 | 4.64 2.98–6.29 2.49–6.78 | 8.84 5.31–12.38 4.27–13.42 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.23–7.65 2.65–8.23 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.74–7.81 | 10.71 6.50–14.93 5.39–16.03 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 46.74 39.95–53.53 38.28–55.20 | 53.75 46.96–60.53 45.29–62.21 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 437 369–504 351–522 | 501 434–567 417–585 | 938 804–1071 768–1107 | 29% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.91 66.88–74.94 65.59–76.24 | 77.00 72.68–81.33 71.37–82.63 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 9.40 6.56–12.24 5.81–12.99 | 10.51 7.56–13.45 6.81–14.20 | 19.91 14.12–25.69 12.62–27.19 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.20 0.10–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 3.02 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.86 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.10 0.06–2.15 0.00–2.42 | 1.42 0.29–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 2.52 0.34–4.70 0.00–5.26 | 29% 26% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.23–5.11 1.85–5.49 | 3.68 2.12–5.23 1.70–5.66 | 7.35 4.36–10.34 3.54–11.15 | 42% 15% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+