Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.182.99safe0.84–2.780.32–2.031.17–4.81safer0.59–3.030.10–2.260.69–5.29
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.553.779.32safe3.69–7.412.02–5.515.71–12.92safer3.20–7.901.56–5.974.76–13.88
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2911.4127.70safe12.37–20.227.85–14.9720.22–35.19safer11.28–21.316.89–15.9318.17–37.24
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.437.8318.26safe7.49–13.375.15–10.5112.64–23.89safer6.66–14.204.41–11.2511.07–25.45
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.047.68safe2.75–6.521.39–4.704.14–11.21safer2.21–7.060.90–5.193.11–12.25
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.4010.56safe3.94–8.372.40–6.406.35–14.77safer3.37–8.941.87–6.945.24–15.88
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.5742.37safe51.78–65.3635.59–49.16safer50.11–67.0333.92–50.83
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction489361850safe422–556295–428716–984safer403–574277–445681–1019
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction71.6369.83safe67.60–75.6665.51–74.16safer66.31–76.9564.20–75.47
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4312.5725.00safe9.59–15.279.63–15.5119.22–30.78safer8.84–16.028.88–16.2617.71–32.29
Offsides
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.312.85safe0.38–2.700.21–2.400.59–5.10safer0.08–3.000.00–2.690.00–5.69
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.793.22safe0.38–2.480.66–2.921.04–5.39safer0.11–2.740.37–3.210.48–5.95
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.796.41safe1.18–4.052.24–5.353.41–9.40safer0.79–4.441.81–5.782.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.84–2.78 0.59–3.03 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.10–2.26 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.55 3.69–7.41 3.20–7.90 | 3.77 2.02–5.51 1.56–5.97 | 9.32 5.71–12.92 4.76–13.88 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 16.29 12.37–20.22 11.28–21.31 | 11.41 7.85–14.97 6.89–15.93 | 27.70 20.22–35.19 18.17–37.24 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.43 7.49–13.37 6.66–14.20 | 7.83 5.15–10.51 4.41–11.25 | 18.26 12.64–23.89 11.07–25.45 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.75–6.52 2.21–7.06 | 3.04 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 7.68 4.14–11.21 3.11–12.25 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.94–8.37 3.37–8.94 | 4.40 2.40–6.40 1.87–6.94 | 10.56 6.35–14.77 5.24–15.88 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 58.57 51.78–65.36 50.11–67.03 | 42.37 35.59–49.16 33.92–50.83 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 489 422–556 403–574 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 850 716–984 681–1019 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.63 67.60–75.66 66.31–76.95 | 69.83 65.51–74.16 64.20–75.47 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 12.43 9.59–15.27 8.84–16.02 | 12.57 9.63–15.51 8.88–16.26 | 25.00 19.22–30.78 17.71–32.29 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 2.85 0.59–5.10 0.00–5.69 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.22 1.04–5.39 0.48–5.95 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.79 2.24–5.35 1.81–5.78 | 6.41 3.41–9.40 2.60–10.21 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+