Eredivisie·Regular Season - 33·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.050.994.04safe2.08–4.020.13–1.842.21–5.86safer1.83–4.270.00–2.071.73–6.34
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.903.6011.50safe6.03–9.761.86–5.357.89–15.10safer5.54–10.251.39–5.816.94–16.06
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction20.229.8830.10safe16.30–24.156.32–13.4422.62–37.59safer15.21–25.245.36–14.4020.57–39.64
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.746.1119.85safe10.80–16.683.43–8.7914.23–25.48safer9.97–17.512.69–9.5312.66–27.04
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.122.257.37safe3.24–7.000.60–3.913.84–10.91safer2.70–7.550.11–4.402.80–11.95
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.383.3010.68safe5.17–9.601.30–5.306.47–14.90safer4.60–10.170.77–5.835.36–16.00
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.8037.63safe55.01–68.5930.85–44.42safer53.34–70.2629.18–46.09
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction611374985safe544–678307–440852–1119safer526–697290–458816–1155
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction79.7071.83safe75.67–83.7267.51–76.16safer74.37–85.0266.20–77.47
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9110.3820.30safe7.08–12.757.44–13.3314.51–26.08safer6.32–13.516.69–14.0813.01–27.58
Offsides
58%
21%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.193.27safe0.91–3.230.10–2.291.01–5.52safer0.61–3.530.00–2.580.43–6.11
Yellow cards
23%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.812.91safe0.05–2.140.68–2.940.73–5.08safer0.00–2.410.39–3.230.17–5.64
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.404.887.28safe0.97–3.843.32–6.434.28–10.27safer0.58–4.232.89–6.863.47–11.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.05 2.08–4.02 1.83–4.27 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 4.04 2.21–5.86 1.73–6.34 | 78% |
| Shots on target | 7.90 6.03–9.76 5.54–10.25 | 3.60 1.86–5.35 1.39–5.81 | 11.50 7.89–15.10 6.94–16.06 | 87% |
| Total shots | 20.22 16.30–24.15 15.21–25.24 | 9.88 6.32–13.44 5.36–14.40 | 30.10 22.62–37.59 20.57–39.64 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.74 10.80–16.68 9.97–17.51 | 6.11 3.43–8.79 2.69–9.53 | 19.85 14.23–25.48 12.66–27.04 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.12 3.24–7.00 2.70–7.55 | 2.25 0.60–3.91 0.11–4.40 | 7.37 3.84–10.91 2.80–11.95 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.38 5.17–9.60 4.60–10.17 | 3.30 1.30–5.30 0.77–5.83 | 10.68 6.47–14.90 5.36–16.00 | 87% |
| Possession % | 61.80 55.01–68.59 53.34–70.26 | 37.63 30.85–44.42 29.18–46.09 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 611 544–678 526–697 | 374 307–440 290–458 | 985 852–1119 816–1155 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.70 75.67–83.72 74.37–85.02 | 71.83 67.51–76.16 66.20–77.47 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 9.91 7.08–12.75 6.32–13.51 | 10.38 7.44–13.33 6.69–14.08 | 20.30 14.51–26.08 13.01–27.58 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.19 0.10–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 3.27 1.01–5.52 0.43–6.11 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.09 0.05–2.14 0.00–2.41 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 2.91 0.73–5.08 0.17–5.64 | 23% 23% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.97–3.84 0.58–4.23 | 4.88 3.32–6.43 2.89–6.86 | 7.28 4.28–10.27 3.47–11.08 | 13% 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+