Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
19%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.062.283.34safe0.10–2.031.43–3.131.52–5.17safer0.00–2.281.20–3.361.04–5.65
Shots on target
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.656.6110.26safe1.79–5.524.86–8.356.65–13.86safer1.30–6.014.40–8.815.70–14.82
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1818.1629.35safe7.26–15.1114.60–21.7321.86–36.83safer6.17–16.2013.64–22.6919.81–38.89
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6112.6619.27safe3.67–9.559.98–15.3413.64–24.89safer2.84–10.389.24–16.0812.08–26.46
Blocked shots
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.564.987.55safe0.68–4.453.33–6.634.01–11.08safer0.14–4.992.84–7.132.97–12.12
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.806.3210.12safe1.59–6.014.32–8.325.91–14.33safer1.01–6.593.79–8.864.80–15.44
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.5365.65safe27.74–41.3258.86–72.43safer26.07–42.9957.19–74.10
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction325607932safe257–392541–674798–1065safer239–410523–691762–1101
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction64.3381.31safe60.30–68.3676.99–85.63safer59.01–69.6575.68–86.94
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6811.5323.21safe8.84–14.528.58–14.4717.42–28.99safer8.09–15.277.83–15.2215.92–30.49
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.813.89safe0.92–3.240.72–2.901.63–6.14safer0.62–3.540.43–3.191.04–6.73
Yellow cards
44%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.443.12safe0.64–2.740.31–2.560.95–5.30safer0.37–3.000.02–2.860.39–5.86
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.456.54safe2.65–5.520.90–4.013.55–9.53safer2.26–5.910.47–4.442.73–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.10–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 2.28 1.43–3.13 1.20–3.36 | 3.34 1.52–5.17 1.04–5.65 | 16% 19% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.65 1.79–5.52 1.30–6.01 | 6.61 4.86–8.35 4.40–8.81 | 10.26 6.65–13.86 5.70–14.82 | 14% 78% |
| Total shots | 11.18 7.26–15.11 6.17–16.20 | 18.16 14.60–21.73 13.64–22.69 | 29.35 21.86–36.83 19.81–38.89 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.61 3.67–9.55 2.84–10.38 | 12.66 9.98–15.34 9.24–16.08 | 19.27 13.64–24.89 12.08–26.46 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 2.56 0.68–4.45 0.14–4.99 | 4.98 3.33–6.63 2.84–7.13 | 7.55 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.12 | 14% 76% |
| Corners | 3.80 1.59–6.01 1.01–6.59 | 6.32 4.32–8.32 3.79–8.86 | 10.12 5.91–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 34.53 27.74–41.32 26.07–42.99 | 65.65 58.86–72.43 57.19–74.10 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 325 257–392 239–410 | 607 541–674 523–691 | 932 798–1065 762–1101 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.33 60.30–68.36 59.01–69.65 | 81.31 76.99–85.63 75.68–86.94 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.68 8.84–14.52 8.09–15.27 | 11.53 8.58–14.47 7.83–15.22 | 23.21 17.42–28.99 15.92–30.49 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.62–3.54 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.89 1.63–6.14 1.04–6.73 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 1.44 0.31–2.56 0.02–2.86 | 3.12 0.95–5.30 0.39–5.86 | 44% 24% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.08 2.65–5.52 2.26–5.91 | 2.45 0.90–4.01 0.47–4.44 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.73–10.34 | 67% 13% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.