Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction0.982.533.51safe0.01–1.951.67–3.381.68–5.33safer0.00–2.201.44–3.611.21–5.81
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.867.2011.06safe1.99–5.725.46–8.957.46–14.67safer1.50–6.215.00–9.416.50–15.62
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7819.6131.39safe7.86–15.7116.05–23.1723.90–38.88safer6.76–16.8015.09–24.1321.85–40.93
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3712.6019.97safe4.43–10.329.92–15.2814.35–25.59safer3.60–11.159.18–16.0212.78–27.16
Blocked shots
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.845.047.88safe0.96–4.723.38–6.694.34–11.41safer0.42–5.272.89–7.183.31–12.45
Corners
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.886.7910.67safe1.67–6.094.79–8.796.46–14.88safer1.09–6.674.26–9.335.35–15.99
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.3962.10safe30.60–44.1855.31–68.88safer28.93–45.8553.64–70.56
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction352557909safe285–419490–623775–1042safer267–437473–641739–1078
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction64.1379.90safe60.11–68.1675.58–84.23safer58.81–69.4674.27–85.54
Fouls
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction12.659.7122.36safe9.81–15.486.76–12.6516.57–28.14safer9.05–16.246.02–13.4015.07–29.64
Offsides
39%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.863.70safe0.68–3.000.77–2.951.44–5.95safer0.38–3.300.48–3.240.85–6.54
Yellow cards
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.313.17safe0.81–2.910.18–2.440.99–5.35safer0.55–3.180.00–2.730.43–5.91
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.992.607.60safe3.55–6.431.05–4.164.60–10.59safer3.17–6.810.62–4.593.79–11.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 2.53 1.67–3.38 1.44–3.61 | 3.51 1.68–5.33 1.21–5.81 | 17% 71% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 1.99–5.72 1.50–6.21 | 7.20 5.46–8.95 5.00–9.41 | 11.06 7.46–14.67 6.50–15.62 | 81% |
| Total shots | 11.78 7.86–15.71 6.76–16.80 | 19.61 16.05–23.17 15.09–24.13 | 31.39 23.90–38.88 21.85–40.93 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 7.37 4.43–10.32 3.60–11.15 | 12.60 9.92–15.28 9.18–16.02 | 19.97 14.35–25.59 12.78–27.16 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 2.84 0.96–4.72 0.42–5.27 | 5.04 3.38–6.69 2.89–7.18 | 7.88 4.34–11.41 3.31–12.45 | 16% 73% |
| Corners | 3.88 1.67–6.09 1.09–6.67 | 6.79 4.79–8.79 4.26–9.33 | 10.67 6.46–14.88 5.35–15.99 | 14% 77% |
| Possession % | 37.39 30.60–44.18 28.93–45.85 | 62.10 55.31–68.88 53.64–70.56 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 352 285–419 267–437 | 557 490–623 473–641 | 909 775–1042 739–1078 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.13 60.11–68.16 58.81–69.46 | 79.90 75.58–84.23 74.27–85.54 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 12.65 9.81–15.48 9.05–16.24 | 9.71 6.76–12.65 6.02–13.40 | 22.36 16.57–28.14 15.07–29.64 | 70% 23% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.86 0.77–2.95 0.48–3.24 | 3.70 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 39% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 1.31 0.18–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.17 0.99–5.35 0.43–5.91 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.99 3.55–6.43 3.17–6.81 | 2.60 1.05–4.16 0.62–4.59 | 7.60 4.60–10.59 3.79–11.40 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.