Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.540.903.44safe1.57–3.510.05–1.761.62–5.26safer1.32–3.760.00–1.991.14–5.74
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.393.5510.94safe5.52–9.251.81–5.297.33–14.54safer5.03–9.741.34–5.766.38–15.50
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction20.4710.3130.78safe16.55–24.406.75–13.8723.30–38.27safer15.46–25.495.79–14.8321.25–40.32
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction14.406.2920.69safe11.46–17.353.61–8.9715.07–26.31safer10.63–18.182.87–9.7013.50–27.88
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.412.958.36safe3.52–7.291.30–4.604.82–11.89safer2.98–7.830.80–5.093.78–12.93
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.473.7111.18safe5.26–9.691.71–5.716.97–15.39safer4.68–10.261.17–6.245.86–16.50
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.4639.96safe53.67–67.2533.17–46.74safer52.00–68.9231.50–48.41
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction581372953safe513–648306–439819–1087safer495–666288–456784–1122
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction73.9667.95safe69.93–77.9963.63–72.28safer68.64–79.2862.32–73.58
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4310.0119.44safe6.60–12.277.06–12.9513.66–25.22safer5.84–13.036.31–13.7012.15–26.73
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.392.96safe0.41–2.730.30–2.480.70–5.21safer0.11–3.030.01–2.770.11–5.80
Yellow cards
25%
26%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.532.55safe0.00–2.060.40–2.660.37–4.73safer0.00–2.330.11–2.950.00–5.28
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.524.727.24safe1.08–3.963.16–6.284.25–10.23safer0.70–4.342.74–6.703.43–11.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.54 1.57–3.51 1.32–3.76 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 3.44 1.62–5.26 1.14–5.74 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.39 5.52–9.25 5.03–9.74 | 3.55 1.81–5.29 1.34–5.76 | 10.94 7.33–14.54 6.38–15.50 | 85% |
| Total shots | 20.47 16.55–24.40 15.46–25.49 | 10.31 6.75–13.87 5.79–14.83 | 30.78 23.30–38.27 21.25–40.32 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 14.40 11.46–17.35 10.63–18.18 | 6.29 3.61–8.97 2.87–9.70 | 20.69 15.07–26.31 13.50–27.88 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.41 3.52–7.29 2.98–7.83 | 2.95 1.30–4.60 0.80–5.09 | 8.36 4.82–11.89 3.78–12.93 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 7.47 5.26–9.69 4.68–10.26 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.17–6.24 | 11.18 6.97–15.39 5.86–16.50 | 84% |
| Possession % | 60.46 53.67–67.25 52.00–68.92 | 39.96 33.17–46.74 31.50–48.41 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 581 513–648 495–666 | 372 306–439 288–456 | 953 819–1087 784–1122 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.96 69.93–77.99 68.64–79.28 | 67.95 63.63–72.28 62.32–73.58 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 9.43 6.60–12.27 5.84–13.03 | 10.01 7.06–12.95 6.31–13.70 | 19.44 13.66–25.22 12.15–26.73 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 2.96 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.01 0.00–2.06 0.00–2.33 | 1.53 0.40–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 2.55 0.37–4.73 0.00–5.28 | 25% 26% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.08–3.96 0.70–4.34 | 4.72 3.16–6.28 2.74–6.70 | 7.24 4.25–10.23 3.43–11.04 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.