Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.313.22safe0.95–2.890.45–2.161.40–5.05safer0.70–3.140.22–2.390.92–5.53
Shots on target
59%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.834.6210.45safe3.97–7.692.88–6.366.85–14.06safer3.48–8.182.41–6.835.89–15.01
Total shots
75%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction18.0613.7431.80safe14.13–21.9810.18–17.3124.32–39.29safer13.04–23.079.22–18.2722.26–41.34
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction11.608.5320.12safe8.65–14.545.84–11.2114.50–25.75safer7.83–15.375.11–11.9412.93–27.31
Blocked shots
52%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.058.77safe2.84–6.602.39–5.705.23–12.30safer2.29–7.141.90–6.194.20–13.34
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction6.054.9310.98safe3.84–8.262.93–6.936.77–15.19safer3.26–8.842.40–7.465.66–16.30
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.0445.97safe47.25–60.8339.18–52.75safer45.58–62.5037.51–54.43
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction473414887safe405–540348–481753–1021safer387–558330–498718–1056
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction71.7172.54safe67.68–75.7468.22–76.86safer66.39–77.0366.91–78.17
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6410.9121.55safe7.80–13.487.97–13.8615.77–27.34safer7.05–14.237.22–14.6114.27–28.84
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.503.20safe0.54–2.860.41–2.590.94–5.45safer0.24–3.160.12–2.880.36–6.04
Yellow cards
34%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.562.96safe0.35–2.450.43–2.690.78–5.14safer0.09–2.720.14–2.980.22–5.69
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.976.79safe1.39–4.262.42–5.533.80–9.79safer1.00–4.651.99–5.952.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 1.31 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 3.22 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.53 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.83 3.97–7.69 3.48–8.18 | 4.62 2.88–6.36 2.41–6.83 | 10.45 6.85–14.06 5.89–15.01 | 59% 30% |
| Total shots | 18.06 14.13–21.98 13.04–23.07 | 13.74 10.18–17.31 9.22–18.27 | 31.80 24.32–39.29 22.26–41.34 | 75% 20% |
| Shots in box | 11.60 8.65–14.54 7.83–15.37 | 8.53 5.84–11.21 5.11–11.94 | 20.12 14.50–25.75 12.93–27.31 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.72 2.84–6.60 2.29–7.14 | 4.05 2.39–5.70 1.90–6.19 | 8.77 5.23–12.30 4.20–13.34 | 52% 13% 34% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.84–8.26 3.26–8.84 | 4.93 2.93–6.93 2.40–7.46 | 10.98 6.77–15.19 5.66–16.30 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 54.04 47.25–60.83 45.58–62.50 | 45.97 39.18–52.75 37.51–54.43 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 473 405–540 387–558 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 887 753–1021 718–1056 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.71 67.68–75.74 66.39–77.03 | 72.54 68.22–76.86 66.91–78.17 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 10.64 7.80–13.48 7.05–14.23 | 10.91 7.97–13.86 7.22–14.61 | 21.55 15.77–27.34 14.27–28.84 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.50 0.41–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.20 0.94–5.45 0.36–6.04 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 2.96 0.78–5.14 0.22–5.69 | 34% 24% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.97 2.42–5.53 1.99–5.95 | 6.79 3.80–9.79 2.99–10.60 | 26% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+