Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.452.81safe0.39–2.330.59–2.300.99–4.63safer0.14–2.580.36–2.530.51–5.11
Shots on target
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.869.58safe2.86–6.593.12–6.605.98–13.19safer2.37–7.082.65–7.075.02–14.14
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4813.3826.87safe9.56–17.419.82–16.9419.38–34.35safer8.47–18.508.86–17.9017.33–36.40
Shots in box
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction9.278.8218.09safe6.33–12.226.14–11.5012.47–23.71safer5.50–13.055.40–12.2310.90–25.28
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.713.096.80safe1.82–5.591.44–4.743.26–10.33safer1.28–6.130.94–5.232.22–11.37
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.895.2810.17safe2.68–7.103.28–7.285.96–14.38safer2.10–7.682.75–7.814.85–15.49
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction47.6053.35safe40.81–54.3946.57–60.14safer39.14–56.0644.90–61.81
Passes
43%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction418438855safe351–485371–504722–989safer332–503354–522686–1025
Pass accuracy %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction66.2572.12safe62.22–70.2867.80–76.44safer60.93–71.5766.49–77.75
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8512.6022.46safe7.02–12.699.66–15.5516.67–28.24safer6.26–13.458.91–16.3015.17–29.74
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.293.06safe0.61–2.930.20–2.380.80–5.31safer0.30–3.230.00–2.670.21–5.90
Yellow cards
33%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.532.84safe0.26–2.360.40–2.660.66–5.02safer0.00–2.620.11–2.950.11–5.58
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.076.26safe1.75–4.631.51–4.623.26–9.25safer1.37–5.011.08–5.052.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 35% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.59 2.37–7.08 | 4.86 3.12–6.60 2.65–7.07 | 9.58 5.98–13.19 5.02–14.14 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total shots | 13.48 9.56–17.41 8.47–18.50 | 13.38 9.82–16.94 8.86–17.90 | 26.87 19.38–34.35 17.33–36.40 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 9.27 6.33–12.22 5.50–13.05 | 8.82 6.14–11.50 5.40–12.23 | 18.09 12.47–23.71 10.90–25.28 | 50% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.82–5.59 1.28–6.13 | 3.09 1.44–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 6.80 3.26–10.33 2.22–11.37 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.68–7.10 2.10–7.68 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.75–7.81 | 10.17 5.96–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 47.60 40.81–54.39 39.14–56.06 | 53.35 46.57–60.14 44.90–61.81 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 418 351–485 332–503 | 438 371–504 354–522 | 855 722–989 686–1025 | 43% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.25 62.22–70.28 60.93–71.57 | 72.12 67.80–76.44 66.49–77.75 | — | 21% 76% |
| Fouls | 9.85 7.02–12.69 6.26–13.45 | 12.60 9.66–15.55 8.91–16.30 | 22.46 16.67–28.24 15.17–29.74 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.30–3.23 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.06 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.62 | 1.53 0.40–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 2.84 0.66–5.02 0.11–5.58 | 33% 25% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.75–4.63 1.37–5.01 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.05 | 6.26 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+