Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.273.64safe0.41–2.341.41–3.121.82–5.47safer0.16–2.601.18–3.351.34–5.95
Shots on target
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.846.5811.42safe2.98–6.704.84–8.327.81–15.03safer2.49–7.194.37–8.796.86–15.98
Total shots
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0317.0731.10safe10.11–17.9613.51–20.6323.61–38.59safer9.02–19.0512.55–21.5921.56–40.64
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction8.6012.1720.77safe5.66–11.559.49–14.8515.15–26.40safer4.83–12.388.75–15.5913.58–27.96
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.394.238.62safe2.51–6.272.58–5.885.09–12.16safer1.97–6.822.08–6.384.05–13.19
Corners
31%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.956.1011.05safe2.73–7.164.10–8.106.84–15.26safer2.16–7.743.57–8.635.73–16.37
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction47.9552.05safe41.16–54.7445.26–58.83safer39.49–56.4143.59–60.50
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction440451891safe373–507385–518757–1025safer355–525367–535722–1060
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction66.8673.10safe62.83–70.8968.77–77.42safer61.54–72.1867.46–78.73
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4010.0719.48safe6.56–12.247.13–13.0213.69–25.26safer5.81–13.006.38–13.7712.19–26.76
Offsides
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.462.82safe0.20–2.520.37–2.560.57–5.07safer0.00–2.820.08–2.850.00–5.66
Yellow cards
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.282.66safe0.34–2.440.15–2.410.48–4.84safer0.07–2.700.00–2.700.00–5.40
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.193.237.42safe2.75–5.631.67–4.794.43–10.41safer2.37–6.011.25–5.213.61–11.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.34 0.16–2.60 | 2.27 1.41–3.12 1.18–3.35 | 3.64 1.82–5.47 1.34–5.95 | 23% 20% 58% |
| Shots on target | 4.84 2.98–6.70 2.49–7.19 | 6.58 4.84–8.32 4.37–8.79 | 11.42 7.81–15.03 6.86–15.98 | 25% 64% |
| Total shots | 14.03 10.11–17.96 9.02–19.05 | 17.07 13.51–20.63 12.55–21.59 | 31.10 23.61–38.59 21.56–40.64 | 26% 68% |
| Shots in box | 8.60 5.66–11.55 4.83–12.38 | 12.17 9.49–14.85 8.75–15.59 | 20.77 15.15–26.40 13.58–27.96 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.51–6.27 1.97–6.82 | 4.23 2.58–5.88 2.08–6.38 | 8.62 5.09–12.16 4.05–13.19 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 4.95 2.73–7.16 2.16–7.74 | 6.10 4.10–8.10 3.57–8.63 | 11.05 6.84–15.26 5.73–16.37 | 31% 58% |
| Possession % | 47.95 41.16–54.74 39.49–56.41 | 52.05 45.26–58.83 43.59–60.50 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 440 373–507 355–525 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 891 757–1025 722–1060 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.86 62.83–70.89 61.54–72.18 | 73.10 68.77–77.42 67.46–78.73 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 9.40 6.56–12.24 5.81–13.00 | 10.07 7.13–13.02 6.38–13.77 | 19.48 13.69–25.26 12.19–26.76 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 2.82 0.57–5.07 0.00–5.66 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.07–2.70 | 1.28 0.15–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 2.66 0.48–4.84 0.00–5.40 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 4.19 2.75–5.63 2.37–6.01 | 3.23 1.67–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 7.42 4.43–10.41 3.61–11.22 | 57% 14% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+