Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.982.773.75safe0.01–1.941.91–3.621.92–5.57safer0.00–2.201.69–3.851.44–6.05
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction3.077.1910.26safe1.21–4.945.45–8.936.66–13.87safer0.72–5.434.98–9.405.70–14.83
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7018.9429.64safe6.78–14.6215.38–22.5122.16–37.13safer5.68–15.7214.42–23.4720.11–39.18
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6111.8517.46safe2.67–8.569.16–14.5311.84–23.08safer1.84–9.398.43–15.2610.27–24.65
Blocked shots
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.075.798.85safe1.18–4.954.13–7.445.32–12.39safer0.64–5.493.64–7.934.28–13.42
Corners
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.716.5610.27safe1.49–5.924.56–8.566.05–14.48safer0.92–6.494.03–9.094.95–15.59
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.2162.15safe30.42–44.0055.37–68.94safer28.75–45.6753.70–70.61
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction356559915safe289–423492–625781–1048safer271–441475–643745–1084
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction62.7678.46safe58.73–66.7974.14–82.79safer57.44–68.0872.83–84.10
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1010.4020.51safe7.27–12.947.46–13.3514.72–26.29safer6.51–13.706.71–14.1013.22–27.79
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.323.09safe0.61–2.930.23–2.410.84–5.35safer0.31–3.230.00–2.700.25–5.93
Yellow cards
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.192.89safe0.65–2.750.06–2.320.71–5.07safer0.39–3.020.00–2.610.16–5.63
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.060.15safe0.00–0.260.00–0.250.00–0.50safer0.00–0.410.00–0.380.00–0.78
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.126.44safe2.89–5.760.56–3.673.45–9.43safer2.50–6.150.14–4.102.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.94 0.00–2.20 | 2.77 1.91–3.62 1.69–3.85 | 3.75 1.92–5.57 1.44–6.05 | 15% 75% |
| Shots on target | 3.07 1.21–4.94 0.72–5.43 | 7.19 5.45–8.93 4.98–9.40 | 10.26 6.66–13.87 5.70–14.83 | 87% |
| Total shots | 10.70 6.78–14.62 5.68–15.72 | 18.94 15.38–22.51 14.42–23.47 | 29.64 22.16–37.13 20.11–39.18 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 5.61 2.67–8.56 1.84–9.39 | 11.85 9.16–14.53 8.43–15.26 | 17.46 11.84–23.08 10.27–24.65 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.18–4.95 0.64–5.49 | 5.79 4.13–7.44 3.64–7.93 | 8.85 5.32–12.39 4.28–13.42 | 14% 77% |
| Corners | 3.71 1.49–5.92 0.92–6.49 | 6.56 4.56–8.56 4.03–9.09 | 10.27 6.05–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 14% 77% |
| Possession % | 37.21 30.42–44.00 28.75–45.67 | 62.15 55.37–68.94 53.70–70.61 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 356 289–423 271–441 | 559 492–625 475–643 | 915 781–1048 745–1084 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.76 58.73–66.79 57.44–68.08 | 78.46 74.14–82.79 72.83–84.10 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 10.10 7.27–12.94 6.51–13.70 | 10.40 7.46–13.35 6.71–14.10 | 20.51 14.72–26.29 13.22–27.79 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.32 0.23–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.09 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.93 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 1.19 0.06–2.32 0.00–2.61 | 2.89 0.71–5.07 0.16–5.63 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.33 2.89–5.76 2.50–6.15 | 2.12 0.56–3.67 0.14–4.10 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.25 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.