Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.113.04safe0.96–2.900.26–1.971.22–4.87safer0.71–3.150.03–2.200.74–5.34
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.1410.29safe4.30–8.022.39–5.886.69–13.90safer3.81–8.511.93–6.345.73–14.85
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2311.0628.28safe13.30–21.157.49–14.6220.79–35.77safer12.21–22.246.53–15.5818.74–37.82
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.547.5019.04safe8.59–14.484.82–10.1813.41–24.66safer7.76–15.314.08–10.9211.85–26.23
Blocked shots
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.217.83safe2.73–6.501.56–4.864.29–11.36safer2.19–7.041.07–5.363.25–12.40
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.584.1310.72safe4.37–8.802.13–6.136.50–14.93safer3.80–9.371.60–6.665.39–16.04
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.8348.61safe46.04–59.6241.83–55.40safer44.37–61.2940.15–57.07
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction506460965safe438–573393–526832–1099safer420–591376–544796–1135
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction70.0871.96safe66.05–74.1167.64–76.29safer64.76–75.4166.33–77.60
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6713.4225.08safe8.83–14.5010.47–16.3619.30–30.87safer8.07–15.269.73–17.1117.80–32.37
Offsides
41%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.823.75safe0.76–3.080.73–2.921.49–6.00safer0.46–3.380.44–3.210.90–6.59
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.003.76safe0.71–2.810.87–3.131.58–5.94safer0.45–3.080.58–3.421.03–6.50
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
22%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.804.317.11safe1.37–4.242.76–5.874.12–10.11safer0.98–4.632.33–6.293.31–10.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.93 0.96–2.90 0.71–3.15 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 3.04 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.34 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.16 4.30–8.02 3.81–8.51 | 4.14 2.39–5.88 1.93–6.34 | 10.29 6.69–13.90 5.73–14.85 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.23 13.30–21.15 12.21–22.24 | 11.06 7.49–14.62 6.53–15.58 | 28.28 20.79–35.77 18.74–37.82 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.54 8.59–14.48 7.76–15.31 | 7.50 4.82–10.18 4.08–10.92 | 19.04 13.41–24.66 11.85–26.23 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.73–6.50 2.19–7.04 | 3.21 1.56–4.86 1.07–5.36 | 7.83 4.29–11.36 3.25–12.40 | 63% 25% |
| Corners | 6.58 4.37–8.80 3.80–9.37 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.60–6.66 | 10.72 6.50–14.93 5.39–16.04 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 52.83 46.04–59.62 44.37–61.29 | 48.61 41.83–55.40 40.15–57.07 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 506 438–573 420–591 | 460 393–526 376–544 | 965 832–1099 796–1135 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.08 66.05–74.11 64.76–75.41 | 71.96 67.64–76.29 66.33–77.60 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 11.67 8.83–14.50 8.07–15.26 | 13.42 10.47–16.36 9.73–17.11 | 25.08 19.30–30.87 17.80–32.37 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.21 | 3.75 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 41% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.03–6.50 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 4.31 2.76–5.87 2.33–6.29 | 7.11 4.12–10.11 3.31–10.92 | 22% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.