Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.652.91safe0.28–2.220.80–2.511.08–4.73safer0.03–2.470.57–2.740.60–5.21
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.295.379.66safe2.43–6.163.62–7.116.05–13.26safer1.94–6.653.16–7.575.10–14.22
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8215.6827.50safe7.89–15.7412.12–19.2420.01–34.99safer6.80–16.8311.16–20.2017.96–37.04
Shots in box
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6210.5618.18safe4.68–10.567.88–13.2412.55–23.80safer3.85–11.397.14–13.9710.99–25.37
Blocked shots
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.274.687.95safe1.39–5.153.03–6.334.41–11.49safer0.84–5.692.54–6.833.38–12.52
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.395.429.81safe2.18–6.613.42–7.425.60–14.02safer1.61–7.182.88–7.954.49–15.13
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.5554.87safe39.76–53.3448.09–61.66safer38.09–55.0146.42–63.33
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction442501942safe375–509434–567809–1076safer356–527417–585773–1112
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction66.0276.64safe62.00–70.0572.32–80.97safer60.70–71.3571.01–82.28
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3513.9524.29safe7.51–13.1811.00–16.8918.51–30.08safer6.75–13.9410.25–17.6417.01–31.58
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.833.36safe0.37–2.690.74–2.921.10–5.61safer0.07–2.990.45–3.210.51–6.20
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.013.68safe0.62–2.720.88–3.141.51–5.86safer0.36–2.990.59–3.430.95–6.42
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
57%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.822.876.69safe2.38–5.251.32–4.433.70–9.68safer1.99–5.640.89–4.852.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.65 0.80–2.51 0.57–2.74 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.29 2.43–6.16 1.94–6.65 | 5.37 3.62–7.11 3.16–7.57 | 9.66 6.05–13.26 5.10–14.22 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.82 7.89–15.74 6.80–16.83 | 15.68 12.12–19.24 11.16–20.20 | 27.50 20.01–34.99 17.96–37.04 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 7.62 4.68–10.56 3.85–11.39 | 10.56 7.88–13.24 7.14–13.97 | 18.18 12.55–23.80 10.99–25.37 | 21% 72% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.39–5.15 0.84–5.69 | 4.68 3.03–6.33 2.54–6.83 | 7.95 4.41–11.49 3.38–12.52 | 25% 63% |
| Corners | 4.39 2.18–6.61 1.61–7.18 | 5.42 3.42–7.42 2.88–7.95 | 9.81 5.60–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 46.55 39.76–53.34 38.09–55.01 | 54.87 48.09–61.66 46.42–63.33 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 442 375–509 356–527 | 501 434–567 417–585 | 942 809–1076 773–1112 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.02 62.00–70.05 60.70–71.35 | 76.64 72.32–80.97 71.01–82.28 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.35 7.51–13.18 6.75–13.94 | 13.95 11.00–16.89 10.25–17.64 | 24.29 18.51–30.08 17.01–31.58 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.36 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.68 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.82 2.38–5.25 1.99–5.64 | 2.87 1.32–4.43 0.89–4.85 | 6.69 3.70–9.68 2.89–10.50 | 57% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.