Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.103.08safe1.01–2.950.25–1.961.26–4.91safer0.76–3.200.02–2.180.78–5.38
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.213.9510.16safe4.35–8.082.20–5.696.56–13.77safer3.86–8.571.74–6.155.60–14.72
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7911.1027.89safe12.86–20.717.54–14.6620.40–35.38safer11.77–21.816.58–15.6218.35–37.43
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.057.1218.18safe8.11–14.004.44–9.8012.55–23.80safer7.28–14.833.70–10.5410.99–25.37
Blocked shots
59%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.307.76safe2.59–6.351.64–4.954.23–11.30safer2.04–6.891.15–5.443.19–12.33
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.553.6310.18safe4.33–8.761.63–5.635.96–14.39safer3.76–9.341.10–6.164.86–15.50
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.5845.64safe48.79–62.3738.85–52.42safer47.12–64.0437.18–54.09
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5614501011safe494–628384–516877–1144safer475–646366–534841–1180
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction72.6772.42safe68.64–76.7068.10–76.75safer67.35–77.9966.79–78.06
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2611.8322.09safe7.43–13.108.88–14.7716.31–27.87safer6.67–13.868.13–15.5214.80–29.38
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.583.49safe0.75–3.070.49–2.671.23–5.74safer0.45–3.370.20–2.960.65–6.33
Yellow cards
29%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.033.56safe0.48–2.580.90–3.151.38–5.74safer0.22–2.850.61–3.450.82–6.29
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
20%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.624.296.91safe1.18–4.052.74–5.853.92–9.90safer0.79–4.442.31–6.273.10–10.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.01–2.95 0.76–3.20 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.18 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.38 | 58% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.21 4.35–8.08 3.86–8.57 | 3.95 2.20–5.69 1.74–6.15 | 10.16 6.56–13.77 5.60–14.72 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.79 12.86–20.71 11.77–21.81 | 11.10 7.54–14.66 6.58–15.62 | 27.89 20.40–35.38 18.35–37.43 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 11.05 8.11–14.00 7.28–14.83 | 7.12 4.44–9.80 3.70–10.54 | 18.18 12.55–23.80 10.99–25.37 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 3.30 1.64–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 7.76 4.23–11.30 3.19–12.33 | 59% 13% 27% |
| Corners | 6.55 4.33–8.76 3.76–9.34 | 3.63 1.63–5.63 1.10–6.16 | 10.18 5.96–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 55.58 48.79–62.37 47.12–64.04 | 45.64 38.85–52.42 37.18–54.09 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 561 494–628 475–646 | 450 384–516 366–534 | 1011 877–1144 841–1180 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.67 68.64–76.70 67.35–77.99 | 72.42 68.10–76.75 66.79–78.06 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 10.26 7.43–13.10 6.67–13.86 | 11.83 8.88–14.77 8.13–15.52 | 22.09 16.31–27.87 14.80–29.38 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 3.49 1.23–5.74 0.65–6.33 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 2.03 0.90–3.15 0.61–3.45 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.82–6.29 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 4.29 2.74–5.85 2.31–6.27 | 6.91 3.92–9.90 3.10–10.71 | 20% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+