Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
24%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.740.992.73safe0.78–2.710.13–1.840.91–4.55safer0.52–2.960.00–2.070.43–5.03
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.593.819.39safe3.72–7.452.07–5.555.79–13.00safer3.23–7.941.60–6.024.83–13.95
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4711.0225.49safe10.55–18.407.46–14.5818.01–32.98safer9.46–19.496.50–15.5415.96–35.03
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.556.3615.92safe6.61–12.503.68–9.0410.29–21.54safer5.78–13.332.94–9.788.73–23.11
Blocked shots
55%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.766.37safe1.73–5.491.11–4.422.84–9.91safer1.19–6.040.62–4.911.80–10.95
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.2310.12safe3.68–8.102.23–6.235.91–14.33safer3.10–8.681.70–6.764.80–15.44
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.4539.81safe53.66–67.2433.02–46.59safer51.99–68.9131.35–48.26
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction582379960safe514–649312–445827–1094safer496–667295–463791–1130
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction74.1568.86safe70.12–78.1864.54–73.19safer68.83–79.4763.23–74.50
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3411.7022.04safe7.50–13.188.75–14.6416.26–27.82safer6.75–13.938.00–15.3914.75–29.32
Offsides
46%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.483.29safe0.65–2.970.39–2.581.04–5.55safer0.35–3.270.10–2.860.45–6.14
Yellow cards
31%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.602.92safe0.27–2.360.47–2.730.74–5.09safer0.00–2.630.18–3.020.18–5.65
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.556.30safe1.32–4.191.99–5.113.31–9.29safer0.93–4.571.57–5.532.50–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.78–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 55% 24% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.59 3.72–7.45 3.23–7.94 | 3.81 2.07–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 9.39 5.79–13.00 4.83–13.95 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.47 10.55–18.40 9.46–19.49 | 11.02 7.46–14.58 6.50–15.54 | 25.49 18.01–32.98 15.96–35.03 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.55 6.61–12.50 5.78–13.33 | 6.36 3.68–9.04 2.94–9.78 | 15.92 10.29–21.54 8.73–23.11 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.19–6.04 | 2.76 1.11–4.42 0.62–4.91 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.95 | 55% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.68–8.10 3.10–8.68 | 4.23 2.23–6.23 1.70–6.76 | 10.12 5.91–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 60.45 53.66–67.24 51.99–68.91 | 39.81 33.02–46.59 31.35–48.26 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 582 514–649 496–667 | 379 312–445 295–463 | 960 827–1094 791–1130 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.15 70.12–78.18 68.83–79.47 | 68.86 64.54–73.19 63.23–74.50 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 10.34 7.50–13.18 6.75–13.93 | 11.70 8.75–14.64 8.00–15.39 | 22.04 16.26–27.82 14.75–29.32 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.86 | 3.29 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 46% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.27–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 2.92 0.74–5.09 0.18–5.65 | 31% 24% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.57 | 3.55 1.99–5.11 1.57–5.53 | 6.30 3.31–9.29 2.50–10.10 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+