Ligue 1·Regular Season - 11·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.862.813.67safe0.00–1.831.96–3.671.85–5.50safer0.00–2.081.73–3.891.37–5.98
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.317.1110.42safe1.45–5.175.37–8.856.81–14.02safer0.96–5.664.90–9.325.86–14.98
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.7218.4027.12safe4.80–12.6514.84–21.9619.64–34.61safer3.71–13.7413.88–22.9217.59–36.66
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction5.5012.8018.30safe2.55–8.4410.12–15.4912.68–23.92safer1.72–9.279.39–16.2211.11–25.49
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.997.13safe0.26–4.033.33–6.643.59–10.66safer0.00–4.572.84–7.132.56–11.70
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.376.509.88safe1.16–5.594.50–8.505.66–14.09safer0.58–6.163.97–9.044.56–15.20
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction32.1368.51safe25.34–38.9261.73–75.30safer23.67–40.5960.06–76.97
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3897331122safe322–456666–799988–1256safer304–475649–817953–1291
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction69.1686.70safe65.14–73.1982.38–91.03safer63.84–74.4981.07–92.34
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction10.528.4618.98safe7.68–13.365.51–11.4013.20–24.76safer6.93–14.114.77–12.1511.69–26.27
Offsides
58%
19%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.501.554.05safe1.34–3.660.46–2.641.80–6.30safer1.04–3.960.17–2.931.21–6.89
Yellow cards
50%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.022.56safe0.49–2.590.00–2.150.38–4.74safer0.23–2.860.00–2.440.00–5.30
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.060.17safe0.00–0.270.00–0.250.00–0.52safer0.00–0.420.00–0.380.00–0.80
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.452.256.70safe3.02–5.890.69–3.813.71–9.70safer2.63–6.280.27–4.232.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.83 0.00–2.08 | 2.81 1.96–3.67 1.73–3.89 | 3.67 1.85–5.50 1.37–5.98 | 14% 78% |
| Shots on target | 3.31 1.45–5.17 0.96–5.66 | 7.11 5.37–8.85 4.90–9.32 | 10.42 6.81–14.02 5.86–14.98 | 85% |
| Total shots | 8.72 4.80–12.65 3.71–13.74 | 18.40 14.84–21.96 13.88–22.92 | 27.12 19.64–34.61 17.59–36.66 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 5.50 2.55–8.44 1.72–9.27 | 12.80 10.12–15.49 9.39–16.22 | 18.30 12.68–23.92 11.11–25.49 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 2.14 0.26–4.03 0.00–4.57 | 4.99 3.33–6.64 2.84–7.13 | 7.13 3.59–10.66 2.56–11.70 | 81% |
| Corners | 3.37 1.16–5.59 0.58–6.16 | 6.50 4.50–8.50 3.97–9.04 | 9.88 5.66–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 80% |
| Possession % | 32.13 25.34–38.92 23.67–40.59 | 68.51 61.73–75.30 60.06–76.97 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 389 322–456 304–475 | 733 666–799 649–817 | 1122 988–1256 953–1291 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.16 65.14–73.19 63.84–74.49 | 86.70 82.38–91.03 81.07–92.34 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.68–13.36 6.93–14.11 | 8.46 5.51–11.40 4.77–12.15 | 18.98 13.20–24.76 11.69–26.27 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 2.50 1.34–3.66 1.04–3.96 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 4.05 1.80–6.30 1.21–6.89 | 58% 19% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.02 0.00–2.15 0.00–2.44 | 2.56 0.38–4.74 0.00–5.30 | 50% 26% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.45 3.02–5.89 2.63–6.28 | 2.25 0.69–3.81 0.27–4.23 | 6.70 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.