Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.900.942.83safe0.93–2.860.08–1.791.01–4.65safer0.68–3.120.00–2.020.53–5.13
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.539.54safe4.15–7.871.79–5.275.93–13.14safer3.66–8.361.32–5.744.98–14.10
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7210.2626.98safe12.80–20.656.70–13.8219.50–34.47safer11.70–21.745.74–14.7817.44–36.52
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.287.1618.44safe8.33–14.224.48–9.8512.82–24.06safer7.50–15.053.75–10.5811.25–25.63
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.213.167.37safe2.33–6.101.51–4.813.84–10.91safer1.79–6.641.02–5.312.80–11.95
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.734.149.87safe3.52–7.952.13–6.145.65–14.08safer2.94–8.521.60–6.674.55–15.19
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.1745.25safe47.38–60.9638.46–52.03safer45.71–62.6336.79–53.70
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction538438976safe471–605372–505843–1110safer453–624354–522807–1146
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction71.4872.42safe67.45–75.5168.10–76.75safer66.16–76.8066.79–78.06
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6211.2723.90safe9.79–15.468.33–14.2218.12–29.68safer9.03–16.227.58–14.9716.61–31.18
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.373.17safe0.64–2.960.27–2.460.91–5.42safer0.34–3.260.00–2.750.32–6.01
Yellow cards
34%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.003.75safe0.70–2.800.87–3.131.57–5.93safer0.43–3.060.58–3.421.01–6.48
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.454.316.76safe1.02–3.892.76–5.873.77–9.76safer0.63–4.282.33–6.292.96–10.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.86 0.68–3.12 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.15–7.87 3.66–8.36 | 3.53 1.79–5.27 1.32–5.74 | 9.54 5.93–13.14 4.98–14.10 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.72 12.80–20.65 11.70–21.74 | 10.26 6.70–13.82 5.74–14.78 | 26.98 19.50–34.47 17.44–36.52 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.28 8.33–14.22 7.50–15.05 | 7.16 4.48–9.85 3.75–10.58 | 18.44 12.82–24.06 11.25–25.63 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.10 1.79–6.64 | 3.16 1.51–4.81 1.02–5.31 | 7.37 3.84–10.91 2.80–11.95 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.73 3.52–7.95 2.94–8.52 | 4.14 2.13–6.14 1.60–6.67 | 9.87 5.65–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 54.17 47.38–60.96 45.71–62.63 | 45.25 38.46–52.03 36.79–53.70 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 538 471–605 453–624 | 438 372–505 354–522 | 976 843–1110 807–1146 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.48 67.45–75.51 66.16–76.80 | 72.42 68.10–76.75 66.79–78.06 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 12.62 9.79–15.46 9.03–16.22 | 11.27 8.33–14.22 7.58–14.97 | 23.90 18.12–29.68 16.61–31.18 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.17 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.43–3.06 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.01–6.48 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 4.31 2.76–5.87 2.33–6.29 | 6.76 3.77–9.76 2.96–10.57 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.