Ligue 1·Regular Season - 11·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.452.59safe0.17–2.110.59–2.300.76–4.41safer0.00–2.360.36–2.530.28–4.89
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.294.709.00safe2.43–6.162.96–6.445.39–12.60safer1.94–6.652.49–6.914.44–13.56
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5313.0426.57safe9.61–17.469.47–16.6019.08–34.06safer8.52–18.558.52–17.5617.03–36.11
Shots in box
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.619.2217.83safe5.66–11.556.54–11.9012.20–23.45safer4.83–12.385.80–12.6410.64–25.02
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.633.527.15safe1.75–5.511.86–5.173.61–10.68safer1.20–6.051.37–5.662.58–11.72
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.9210.14safe3.01–7.442.92–6.925.93–14.36safer2.44–8.012.38–7.454.82–15.46
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.4455.84safe37.65–51.2349.06–62.63safer35.98–52.9047.39–64.30
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction363468831safe296–430401–534697–965safer278–449384–552661–1000
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction62.8570.67safe58.82–66.8866.34–74.99safer57.52–68.1765.04–76.30
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3514.4527.80safe10.51–16.1811.51–17.4022.01–33.58safer9.75–16.9410.76–18.1420.51–35.08
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.933.98safe0.89–3.210.83–3.021.72–6.23safer0.59–3.510.54–3.311.13–6.82
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.073.83safe0.72–2.810.94–3.201.65–6.01safer0.45–3.080.65–3.491.10–6.57
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
45%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.212.996.19safe1.77–4.641.43–4.543.20–9.19safer1.38–5.031.01–4.972.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.59 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 30% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.29 2.43–6.16 1.94–6.65 | 4.70 2.96–6.44 2.49–6.91 | 9.00 5.39–12.60 4.44–13.56 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.53 9.61–17.46 8.52–18.55 | 13.04 9.47–16.60 8.52–17.56 | 26.57 19.08–34.06 17.03–36.11 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.61 5.66–11.55 4.83–12.38 | 9.22 6.54–11.90 5.80–12.64 | 17.83 12.20–23.45 10.64–25.02 | 40% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 3.52 1.86–5.17 1.37–5.66 | 7.15 3.61–10.68 2.58–11.72 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.01–7.44 2.44–8.01 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.38–7.45 | 10.14 5.93–14.36 4.82–15.46 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 44.44 37.65–51.23 35.98–52.90 | 55.84 49.06–62.63 47.39–64.30 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 363 296–430 278–449 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 831 697–965 661–1000 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.85 58.82–66.88 57.52–68.17 | 70.67 66.34–74.99 65.04–76.30 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 13.35 10.51–16.18 9.75–16.94 | 14.45 11.51–17.40 10.76–18.14 | 27.80 22.01–33.58 20.51–35.08 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.51 | 1.93 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.31 | 3.98 1.72–6.23 1.13–6.82 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.72–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 2.99 1.43–4.54 1.01–4.97 | 6.19 3.20–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 45% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.