Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.723.22safe0.53–2.470.87–2.581.40–5.05safer0.28–2.720.64–2.810.92–5.53
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.715.6910.40safe2.85–6.583.95–7.436.80–14.01safer2.36–7.073.48–7.905.84–14.96
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0514.7927.84safe9.13–16.9811.22–18.3520.35–35.33safer8.04–18.0710.27–19.3118.30–37.38
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8710.1118.98safe5.93–11.817.43–12.7913.36–24.60safer5.10–12.646.69–13.5311.79–26.17
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.767.46safe1.82–5.582.11–5.413.92–10.99safer1.27–6.121.62–5.912.89–12.03
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.325.1510.48safe3.11–7.543.15–7.156.26–14.69safer2.54–8.112.62–7.695.15–15.80
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.2950.80safe42.50–56.0844.01–57.58safer40.83–57.7542.34–59.26
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction447456904safe380–514390–523770–1037safer362–532372–540734–1073
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction68.2071.57safe64.17–72.2367.25–75.90safer62.88–73.5265.94–77.21
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3812.6924.06safe8.54–14.219.74–15.6318.28–29.84safer7.78–14.978.99–16.3816.77–31.35
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.093.85safe0.60–2.921.00–3.181.60–6.11safer0.30–3.220.71–3.471.01–6.70
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.063.82safe0.71–2.810.93–3.191.64–6.00safer0.45–3.080.64–3.481.08–6.55
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
51%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.603.016.61safe2.16–5.031.45–4.573.62–9.60safer1.77–5.421.03–4.992.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.72 0.87–2.58 0.64–2.81 | 3.22 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.53 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.71 2.85–6.58 2.36–7.07 | 5.69 3.95–7.43 3.48–7.90 | 10.40 6.80–14.01 5.84–14.96 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 13.05 9.13–16.98 8.04–18.07 | 14.79 11.22–18.35 10.27–19.31 | 27.84 20.35–35.33 18.30–37.38 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 8.87 5.93–11.81 5.10–12.64 | 10.11 7.43–12.79 6.69–13.53 | 18.98 13.36–24.60 11.79–26.17 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 3.76 2.11–5.41 1.62–5.91 | 7.46 3.92–10.99 2.89–12.03 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.54 2.54–8.11 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.62–7.69 | 10.48 6.26–14.69 5.15–15.80 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 49.29 42.50–56.08 40.83–57.75 | 50.80 44.01–57.58 42.34–59.26 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 447 380–514 362–532 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 904 770–1037 734–1073 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.20 64.17–72.23 62.88–73.52 | 71.57 67.25–75.90 65.94–77.21 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 11.38 8.54–14.21 7.78–14.97 | 12.69 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.38 | 24.06 18.28–29.84 16.77–31.35 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 2.09 1.00–3.18 0.71–3.47 | 3.85 1.60–6.11 1.01–6.70 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.08–6.55 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.60 2.16–5.03 1.77–5.42 | 3.01 1.45–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.80–10.41 | 51% 15% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+