Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.432.57safe0.17–2.110.58–2.290.75–4.39safer0.00–2.360.35–2.510.27–4.87
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.034.628.66safe2.17–5.902.88–6.375.05–12.26safer1.68–6.392.41–6.834.10–13.22
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4512.8126.26safe9.53–17.379.25–16.3718.77–33.75safer8.43–18.478.29–17.3316.72–35.80
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.808.2317.02safe5.85–11.745.55–10.9111.40–22.65safer5.02–12.574.81–11.659.83–24.21
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.603.907.50safe1.72–5.492.24–5.553.97–11.04safer1.18–6.031.75–6.042.93–12.07
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.105.0410.14safe2.88–7.313.04–7.045.92–14.35safer2.31–7.892.51–7.574.82–15.46
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction44.3757.14safe37.58–51.1650.35–63.92safer35.91–52.8348.68–65.60
Passes
17%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction401513914safe334–469446–579780–1048safer316–487429–597745–1083
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction65.7974.32safe61.76–69.8269.99–78.64safer60.47–71.1168.68–79.95
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4910.2822.76safe9.65–15.327.33–13.2216.98–28.54safer8.89–16.086.58–13.9715.48–30.05
Offsides
40%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.693.46safe0.60–2.920.60–2.791.21–5.71safer0.30–3.230.31–3.080.62–6.30
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.723.51safe0.74–2.840.59–2.851.33–5.69safer0.47–3.110.30–3.140.78–6.25
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
47%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.242.886.12safe1.80–4.671.32–4.443.12–9.11safer1.41–5.060.90–4.862.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.51 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 30% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.03 2.17–5.90 1.68–6.39 | 4.62 2.88–6.37 2.41–6.83 | 8.66 5.05–12.26 4.10–13.22 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 13.45 9.53–17.37 8.43–18.47 | 12.81 9.25–16.37 8.29–17.33 | 26.26 18.77–33.75 16.72–35.80 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.80 5.85–11.74 5.02–12.57 | 8.23 5.55–10.91 4.81–11.65 | 17.02 11.40–22.65 9.83–24.21 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.60 1.72–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 3.90 2.24–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 7.50 3.97–11.04 2.93–12.07 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.89 | 5.04 3.04–7.04 2.51–7.57 | 10.14 5.92–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 44.37 37.58–51.16 35.91–52.83 | 57.14 50.35–63.92 48.68–65.60 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 401 334–469 316–487 | 513 446–579 429–597 | 914 780–1048 745–1083 | 17% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.79 61.76–69.82 60.47–71.11 | 74.32 69.99–78.64 68.68–79.95 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.49 9.65–15.32 8.89–16.08 | 10.28 7.33–13.22 6.58–13.97 | 22.76 16.98–28.54 15.48–30.05 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.23 | 1.69 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.08 | 3.46 1.21–5.71 0.62–6.30 | 40% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.47–3.11 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.80–4.67 1.41–5.06 | 2.88 1.32–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.12 3.12–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 47% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.