Ligue 1·Regular Season - 12·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
25%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.652.66safe0.04–1.980.79–2.500.84–4.48safer0.00–2.230.57–2.730.36–4.96
Shots on target
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.664.548.20safe1.80–5.522.80–6.284.59–11.80safer1.31–6.012.33–6.753.64–12.76
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8412.9224.75safe7.91–15.769.35–16.4817.27–32.24safer6.82–16.858.40–17.4415.22–34.29
Shots in box
30%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.048.5915.63safe4.10–9.985.91–11.2710.00–21.25safer3.27–10.815.17–12.018.44–22.82
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.576.78safe1.33–5.091.92–5.223.25–10.32safer0.79–5.641.43–5.722.21–11.35
Corners
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.909.31safe2.19–6.622.90–6.905.10–13.52safer1.62–7.192.37–7.443.99–14.63
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.1459.97safe33.35–46.9353.18–66.75safer31.68–48.6051.51–68.42
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction376559934safe308–443492–625801–1068safer290–461475–643765–1104
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction64.1376.05safe60.10–68.1671.72–80.37safer58.80–69.4570.41–81.68
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4212.2824.69safe9.58–15.259.33–15.2218.91–30.47safer8.82–16.018.58–15.9717.41–31.98
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.863.50safe0.47–2.790.77–2.961.25–5.75safer0.17–3.100.48–3.250.66–6.34
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.843.75safe0.86–2.960.71–2.971.57–5.92safer0.59–3.220.42–3.261.01–6.48
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.972.645.61safe1.54–4.411.08–4.202.62–8.61safer1.15–4.800.66–4.621.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.65 0.79–2.50 0.57–2.73 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 23% 25% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.80–5.52 1.31–6.01 | 4.54 2.80–6.28 2.33–6.75 | 8.20 4.59–11.80 3.64–12.76 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Total shots | 11.84 7.91–15.76 6.82–16.85 | 12.92 9.35–16.48 8.40–17.44 | 24.75 17.27–32.24 15.22–34.29 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 7.04 4.10–9.98 3.27–10.81 | 8.59 5.91–11.27 5.17–12.01 | 15.63 10.00–21.25 8.44–22.82 | 30% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.21 1.33–5.09 0.79–5.64 | 3.57 1.92–5.22 1.43–5.72 | 6.78 3.25–10.32 2.21–11.35 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.41 2.19–6.62 1.62–7.19 | 4.90 2.90–6.90 2.37–7.44 | 9.31 5.10–13.52 3.99–14.63 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Possession % | 40.14 33.35–46.93 31.68–48.60 | 59.97 53.18–66.75 51.51–68.42 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 376 308–443 290–461 | 559 492–625 475–643 | 934 801–1068 765–1104 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.13 60.10–68.16 58.80–69.45 | 76.05 71.72–80.37 70.41–81.68 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.42 9.58–15.25 8.82–16.01 | 12.28 9.33–15.22 8.58–15.97 | 24.69 18.91–30.47 17.41–31.98 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.10 | 1.86 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.25 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.75 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.54–4.41 1.15–4.80 | 2.64 1.08–4.20 0.66–4.62 | 5.61 2.62–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.