Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.712.86safe0.19–2.120.85–2.561.04–4.68safer0.00–2.370.62–2.790.56–5.16
Shots on target
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.225.539.75safe2.36–6.083.79–7.276.15–13.36safer1.87–6.573.32–7.745.19–14.31
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7113.5026.22safe8.79–16.649.94–17.0718.73–33.70safer7.70–17.738.98–18.0316.68–35.75
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.819.6217.43safe4.86–10.756.94–12.3011.80–23.05safer4.03–11.586.20–13.0410.24–24.62
Blocked shots
36%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.586.77safe1.30–5.061.93–5.243.23–10.30safer0.76–5.611.44–5.732.19–11.34
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.935.009.94safe2.72–7.153.00–7.005.72–14.15safer2.15–7.722.47–7.534.62–15.26
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.6053.24safe39.81–53.3946.46–60.03safer38.14–55.0644.79–61.70
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction466511977safe398–533444–577843–1110safer380–551427–595807–1146
Pass accuracy %
23%
72%
homeawayprediction70.1675.27safe66.13–74.1970.94–79.59safer64.84–75.4869.63–80.90
Fouls
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8110.6724.48safe10.98–16.657.72–13.6118.70–30.26safer10.22–17.416.97–14.3617.19–31.77
Offsides
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.254.11safe0.70–3.021.15–3.341.85–6.36safer0.40–3.320.87–3.631.26–6.95
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.853.71safe0.81–2.900.73–2.981.53–5.89safer0.54–3.170.43–3.280.97–6.45
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.926.59safe2.24–5.111.36–4.473.60–9.58safer1.85–5.500.94–4.902.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.71 0.85–2.56 0.62–2.79 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.36–6.08 1.87–6.57 | 5.53 3.79–7.27 3.32–7.74 | 9.75 6.15–13.36 5.19–14.31 | 28% 60% |
| Total shots | 12.71 8.79–16.64 7.70–17.73 | 13.50 9.94–17.07 8.98–18.03 | 26.22 18.73–33.70 16.68–35.75 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.81 4.86–10.75 4.03–11.58 | 9.62 6.94–12.30 6.20–13.04 | 17.43 11.80–23.05 10.24–24.62 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.18 1.30–5.06 0.76–5.61 | 3.58 1.93–5.24 1.44–5.73 | 6.77 3.23–10.30 2.19–11.34 | 36% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.93 2.72–7.15 2.15–7.72 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.47–7.53 | 9.94 5.72–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 46.60 39.81–53.39 38.14–55.06 | 53.24 46.46–60.03 44.79–61.70 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 466 398–533 380–551 | 511 444–577 427–595 | 977 843–1110 807–1146 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.16 66.13–74.19 64.84–75.48 | 75.27 70.94–79.59 69.63–80.90 | — | 23% 72% |
| Fouls | 13.81 10.98–16.65 10.22–17.41 | 10.67 7.72–13.61 6.97–14.36 | 24.48 18.70–30.26 17.19–31.77 | 70% 23% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 2.25 1.15–3.34 0.87–3.63 | 4.11 1.85–6.36 1.26–6.95 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.81–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.85 0.73–2.98 0.43–3.28 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.97–6.45 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.24–5.11 1.85–5.50 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.79–10.40 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+