Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.112.73safe0.65–2.590.26–1.960.91–4.55safer0.40–2.840.03–2.190.43–5.03
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.748.93safe3.33–7.052.00–5.485.32–12.53safer2.84–7.541.53–5.954.37–13.49
Total shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction14.959.8424.79safe11.03–18.886.28–13.4117.31–32.28safer9.94–19.975.32–14.3715.26–34.33
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.096.6716.76safe7.15–13.033.99–9.3511.14–22.39safer6.32–13.863.25–10.099.57–23.95
Blocked shots
68%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.356.37safe2.14–5.900.70–4.002.84–9.91safer1.59–6.440.21–4.501.80–10.94
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.099.96safe3.65–8.082.09–6.095.74–14.17safer3.08–8.651.56–6.634.64–15.28
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction51.8048.34safe45.01–58.5941.55–55.12safer43.34–60.2639.88–56.79
Passes
65%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction509462971safe442–576395–528837–1105safer424–595378–546802–1140
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction74.8774.30safe70.84–78.9069.98–78.62safer69.55–80.1968.67–79.93
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6312.9923.63safe7.80–13.4710.05–15.9417.85–29.41safer7.04–14.239.30–16.6916.34–30.91
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.743.52safe0.62–2.940.65–2.841.27–5.77safer0.32–3.240.36–3.120.68–6.36
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.163.67safe0.46–2.561.03–3.291.49–5.84safer0.19–2.820.74–3.580.93–6.40
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
29%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.446.01safe1.14–4.011.88–4.993.02–9.00safer0.75–4.401.45–5.422.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.11 0.26–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.19 3.33–7.05 2.84–7.54 | 3.74 2.00–5.48 1.53–5.95 | 8.93 5.32–12.53 4.37–13.49 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.95 11.03–18.88 9.94–19.97 | 9.84 6.28–13.41 5.32–14.37 | 24.79 17.31–32.28 15.26–34.33 | 82% |
| Shots in box | 10.09 7.15–13.03 6.32–13.86 | 6.67 3.99–9.35 3.25–10.09 | 16.76 11.14–22.39 9.57–23.95 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 2.35 0.70–4.00 0.21–4.50 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.94 | 68% 13% 19% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.65–8.08 3.08–8.65 | 4.09 2.09–6.09 1.56–6.63 | 9.96 5.74–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 51.80 45.01–58.59 43.34–60.26 | 48.34 41.55–55.12 39.88–56.79 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 509 442–576 424–595 | 462 395–528 378–546 | 971 837–1105 802–1140 | 65% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.87 70.84–78.90 69.55–80.19 | 74.30 69.98–78.62 68.67–79.93 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 10.63 7.80–13.47 7.04–14.23 | 12.99 10.05–15.94 9.30–16.69 | 23.63 17.85–29.41 16.34–30.91 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.74 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.12 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.67 1.49–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.44 1.88–4.99 1.45–5.42 | 6.01 3.02–9.00 2.21–9.82 | 29% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.