Ligue 1·Regular Season - 12·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.630.992.62safe0.66–2.590.14–1.840.79–4.44safer0.41–2.840.00–2.070.31–4.92
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.123.518.63safe3.26–6.991.76–5.255.02–12.23safer2.77–7.481.30–5.714.07–13.19
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4111.2025.61safe10.49–18.337.64–14.7718.13–33.10safer9.39–19.436.68–15.7316.08–35.15
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.257.4816.72safe6.31–12.194.79–10.1611.10–22.35safer5.48–13.024.06–10.899.53–23.91
Blocked shots
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.493.056.55safe1.61–5.381.40–4.713.01–10.08safer1.07–5.920.91–5.201.98–11.12
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.944.5110.45safe3.73–8.152.51–6.516.24–14.66safer3.15–8.731.98–7.045.13–15.77
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.5439.45safe53.75–67.3332.66–46.23safer52.08–69.0030.99–47.90
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction586361946safe518–653294–427813–1080safer500–671277–445777–1116
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction74.4967.68safe70.46–78.5263.35–72.00safer69.17–79.8162.04–73.31
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7711.3623.14safe8.94–14.618.42–14.3117.35–28.92safer8.18–15.377.67–15.0615.85–30.42
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.463.41safe0.78–3.100.37–2.551.15–5.66safer0.48–3.410.08–2.840.56–6.25
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.743.24safe0.45–2.550.61–2.871.06–5.42safer0.18–2.810.32–3.160.51–5.98
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.455.97safe1.08–3.951.90–5.012.97–8.96safer0.69–4.341.47–5.432.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.59 0.41–2.84 | 0.99 0.14–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.62 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.12 3.26–6.99 2.77–7.48 | 3.51 1.76–5.25 1.30–5.71 | 8.63 5.02–12.23 4.07–13.19 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.41 10.49–18.33 9.39–19.43 | 11.20 7.64–14.77 6.68–15.73 | 25.61 18.13–33.10 16.08–35.15 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.31–12.19 5.48–13.02 | 7.48 4.79–10.16 4.06–10.89 | 16.72 11.10–22.35 9.53–23.91 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.61–5.38 1.07–5.92 | 3.05 1.40–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 6.55 3.01–10.08 1.98–11.12 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 5.94 3.73–8.15 3.15–8.73 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.04 | 10.45 6.24–14.66 5.13–15.77 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 60.54 53.75–67.33 52.08–69.00 | 39.45 32.66–46.23 30.99–47.90 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 586 518–653 500–671 | 361 294–427 277–445 | 946 813–1080 777–1116 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.49 70.46–78.52 69.17–79.81 | 67.68 63.35–72.00 62.04–73.31 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 11.77 8.94–14.61 8.18–15.37 | 11.36 8.42–14.31 7.67–15.06 | 23.14 17.35–28.92 15.85–30.42 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.41 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.81 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.24 1.06–5.42 0.51–5.98 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 3.45 1.90–5.01 1.47–5.43 | 5.97 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.