Ligue 1·Regular Season - 12·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.080.783.86safe2.11–4.050.00–1.642.04–5.68safer1.86–4.300.00–1.861.56–6.16
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.022.7710.79safe6.16–9.881.03–4.517.18–14.39safer5.67–10.370.56–4.986.23–15.35
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction21.187.1428.32safe17.26–25.113.57–10.7020.83–35.80safer16.17–26.202.61–11.6618.78–37.85
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.175.2319.40safe11.23–17.112.55–7.9213.78–25.03safer10.40–17.941.82–8.6512.21–26.59
Blocked shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5.741.677.41safe3.86–7.620.02–3.333.88–10.95safer3.31–8.160.00–3.822.84–11.98
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.942.6310.57safe5.72–10.150.63–4.636.36–14.78safer5.15–10.720.10–5.175.25–15.89
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.6729.80safe62.88–76.4623.01–36.58safer61.21–78.1321.34–38.25
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7823521134safe715–849285–4181000–1268safer697–868268–436965–1303
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction85.4470.03safe81.41–89.4765.71–74.36safer80.12–90.7664.40–75.66
Fouls
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.888.5718.45safe7.04–12.725.62–11.5112.66–24.23safer6.28–13.474.88–12.2611.16–25.73
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.753.76safe0.86–3.180.65–2.841.51–6.02safer0.56–3.480.36–3.130.92–6.61
Yellow cards
24%
28%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction0.871.352.22safe0.00–1.910.22–2.480.04–4.40safer0.00–2.180.00–2.770.00–4.95
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction1.914.806.71safe0.47–3.353.25–6.363.72–9.71safer0.09–3.732.82–6.782.91–10.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.08 2.11–4.05 1.86–4.30 | 0.78 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.86 | 3.86 2.04–5.68 1.56–6.16 | 83% |
| Shots on target | 8.02 6.16–9.88 5.67–10.37 | 2.77 1.03–4.51 0.56–4.98 | 10.79 7.18–14.39 6.23–15.35 | 93% |
| Total shots | 21.18 17.26–25.11 16.17–26.20 | 7.14 3.57–10.70 2.61–11.66 | 28.32 20.83–35.80 18.78–37.85 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 14.17 11.23–17.11 10.40–17.94 | 5.23 2.55–7.92 1.82–8.65 | 19.40 13.78–25.03 12.21–26.59 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.74 3.86–7.62 3.31–8.16 | 1.67 0.02–3.33 0.00–3.82 | 7.41 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.98 | 91% |
| Corners | 7.94 5.72–10.15 5.15–10.72 | 2.63 0.63–4.63 0.10–5.17 | 10.57 6.36–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 94% |
| Possession % | 69.67 62.88–76.46 61.21–78.13 | 29.80 23.01–36.58 21.34–38.25 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 782 715–849 697–868 | 352 285–418 268–436 | 1134 1000–1268 965–1303 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.44 81.41–89.47 80.12–90.76 | 70.03 65.71–74.36 64.40–75.66 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 9.88 7.04–12.72 6.28–13.47 | 8.57 5.62–11.51 4.88–12.26 | 18.45 12.66–24.23 11.16–25.73 | 57% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.13 | 3.76 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 0.87 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.18 | 1.35 0.22–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 2.22 0.04–4.40 0.00–4.95 | 24% 28% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.91 0.47–3.35 0.09–3.73 | 4.80 3.25–6.36 2.82–6.78 | 6.71 3.72–9.71 2.91–10.52 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.