Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.773.24safe0.49–2.430.92–2.631.41–5.06safer0.24–2.680.69–2.860.93–5.54
Shots on target
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.535.419.94safe2.67–6.393.66–7.156.33–13.54safer2.18–6.883.20–7.625.38–14.50
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5815.4028.97safe9.65–17.5011.83–18.9621.48–36.46safer8.56–18.5910.87–19.9219.43–38.51
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.6110.3718.98safe5.67–11.557.68–13.0513.35–24.60safer4.84–12.386.95–13.7811.79–26.17
Blocked shots
28%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.694.868.55safe1.81–5.573.21–6.525.02–12.09safer1.26–6.112.72–7.013.98–13.12
Corners
42%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.055.2310.28safe2.84–7.273.23–7.236.07–14.50safer2.27–7.842.70–7.764.96–15.60
Possession %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction47.6353.25safe40.84–54.4246.47–60.04safer39.17–56.0944.80–61.71
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction449477927safe382–517411–544793–1061safer364–535393–561758–1096
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction66.5474.06safe62.51–70.5769.73–78.38safer61.22–71.8668.42–79.69
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1812.2625.45safe10.35–16.029.32–15.2119.67–31.23safer9.59–16.788.57–15.9618.16–32.73
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.853.51safe0.50–2.820.76–2.941.26–5.76safer0.20–3.120.47–3.230.67–6.35
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.773.70safe0.88–2.970.64–2.901.52–5.87safer0.61–3.240.35–3.190.96–6.43
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.076.83safe2.33–5.211.51–4.623.84–9.83safer1.95–5.591.08–5.053.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.77 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.86 | 3.24 1.41–5.06 0.93–5.54 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.53 2.67–6.39 2.18–6.88 | 5.41 3.66–7.15 3.20–7.62 | 9.94 6.33–13.54 5.38–14.50 | 33% 55% |
| Total shots | 13.58 9.65–17.50 8.56–18.59 | 15.40 11.83–18.96 10.87–19.92 | 28.97 21.48–36.46 19.43–38.51 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 8.61 5.67–11.55 4.84–12.38 | 10.37 7.68–13.05 6.95–13.78 | 18.98 13.35–24.60 11.79–26.17 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.57 1.26–6.11 | 4.86 3.21–6.52 2.72–7.01 | 8.55 5.02–12.09 3.98–13.12 | 28% 59% |
| Corners | 5.05 2.84–7.27 2.27–7.84 | 5.23 3.23–7.23 2.70–7.76 | 10.28 6.07–14.50 4.96–15.60 | 42% 46% |
| Possession % | 47.63 40.84–54.42 39.17–56.09 | 53.25 46.47–60.04 44.80–61.71 | — | 35% 61% |
| Passes | 449 382–517 364–535 | 477 411–544 393–561 | 927 793–1061 758–1096 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.54 62.51–70.57 61.22–71.86 | 74.06 69.73–78.38 68.42–79.69 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 13.18 10.35–16.02 9.59–16.78 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 25.45 19.67–31.23 18.16–32.73 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 3.51 1.26–5.76 0.67–6.35 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.70 1.52–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.77 2.33–5.21 1.95–5.59 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.05 | 6.83 3.84–9.83 3.03–10.64 | 53% 15% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.