Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.203.02safe0.85–2.790.34–2.051.20–4.84safer0.60–3.040.11–2.280.72–5.32
Shots on target
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.853.939.78safe3.99–7.712.18–5.676.17–13.38safer3.50–8.201.72–6.135.21–14.34
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2511.5027.75safe12.33–20.177.93–15.0620.26–35.23safer11.23–21.276.97–16.0218.21–37.28
Shots in box
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.788.0518.83safe7.84–13.725.37–10.7313.21–24.46safer7.01–14.554.63–11.4711.64–26.02
Blocked shots
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.553.508.05safe2.66–6.431.85–5.154.51–11.58safer2.12–6.971.35–5.643.47–12.62
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.064.2210.28safe3.84–8.272.22–6.226.06–14.49safer3.27–8.841.69–6.754.95–15.60
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.7945.34safe48.99–62.5838.56–52.13safer47.33–64.2436.88–53.80
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction508398905safe440–575331–464771–1039safer422–593314–482736–1075
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction69.5568.88safe65.52–73.5864.55–73.20safer64.22–74.8763.24–74.51
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3013.1725.48safe9.47–15.1410.23–16.1219.69–31.26safer8.71–15.909.48–16.8718.19–32.76
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.783.85safe0.91–3.230.69–2.871.59–6.10safer0.61–3.530.40–3.161.01–6.69
Yellow cards
31%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.053.69safe0.60–2.690.92–3.181.52–5.87safer0.33–2.960.63–3.470.96–6.43
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
27%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.866.62safe1.33–4.202.30–5.413.62–9.61safer0.94–4.591.87–5.842.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.85–2.79 0.60–3.04 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.85 3.99–7.71 3.50–8.20 | 3.93 2.18–5.67 1.72–6.13 | 9.78 6.17–13.38 5.21–14.34 | 68% 22% |
| Total shots | 16.25 12.33–20.17 11.23–21.27 | 11.50 7.93–15.06 6.97–16.02 | 27.75 20.26–35.23 18.21–37.28 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.78 7.84–13.72 7.01–14.55 | 8.05 5.37–10.73 4.63–11.47 | 18.83 13.21–24.46 11.64–26.02 | 70% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.66–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 3.50 1.85–5.15 1.35–5.64 | 8.05 4.51–11.58 3.47–12.62 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Corners | 6.06 3.84–8.27 3.27–8.84 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.75 | 10.28 6.06–14.49 4.95–15.60 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 55.79 48.99–62.58 47.33–64.24 | 45.34 38.56–52.13 36.88–53.80 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 508 440–575 422–593 | 398 331–464 314–482 | 905 771–1039 736–1075 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.55 65.52–73.58 64.22–74.87 | 68.88 64.55–73.20 63.24–74.51 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 12.30 9.47–15.14 8.71–15.90 | 13.17 10.23–16.12 9.48–16.87 | 25.48 19.69–31.26 18.19–32.76 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.78 0.69–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 3.85 1.59–6.10 1.01–6.69 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.60–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.69 1.52–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 31% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 3.86 2.30–5.41 1.87–5.84 | 6.62 3.62–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 27% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.