Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.072.80safe0.76–2.690.22–1.930.98–4.62safer0.51–2.950.00–2.150.50–5.10
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.303.548.84safe3.44–7.161.80–5.285.24–12.45safer2.95–7.651.33–5.754.28–13.40
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9810.4525.43safe11.06–18.916.89–14.0217.95–32.92safer9.96–20.005.93–14.9715.90–34.97
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.196.7016.89safe7.25–13.134.02–9.3811.27–22.51safer6.42–13.963.28–10.129.70–24.08
Blocked shots
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.062.516.57safe2.18–5.950.86–4.163.04–10.11safer1.64–6.490.37–4.662.00–11.14
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.904.2810.18safe3.68–8.112.28–6.285.96–14.39safer3.11–8.681.75–6.814.86–15.50
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.3440.67safe53.55–67.1333.88–47.45safer51.88–68.8032.21–49.12
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction564376941safe497–632310–443807–1074safer479–650292–460771–1110
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction72.4267.77safe68.40–76.4563.45–72.10safer67.10–77.7562.14–73.41
Fouls
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2714.7425.01safe7.43–13.1011.79–17.6819.22–30.79safer6.67–13.8611.05–18.4317.72–32.29
Offsides
41%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.833.76safe0.77–3.090.74–2.921.51–6.01safer0.47–3.390.45–3.210.92–6.60
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.023.57safe0.50–2.600.89–3.151.39–5.75safer0.24–2.870.60–3.440.84–6.31
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.596.03safe1.01–3.892.03–5.143.04–9.03safer0.63–4.271.60–5.572.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.69 0.51–2.95 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.15 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.30 3.44–7.16 2.95–7.65 | 3.54 1.80–5.28 1.33–5.75 | 8.84 5.24–12.45 4.28–13.40 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 14.98 11.06–18.91 9.96–20.00 | 10.45 6.89–14.02 5.93–14.97 | 25.43 17.95–32.92 15.90–34.97 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.19 7.25–13.13 6.42–13.96 | 6.70 4.02–9.38 3.28–10.12 | 16.89 11.27–22.51 9.70–24.08 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.06 2.18–5.95 1.64–6.49 | 2.51 0.86–4.16 0.37–4.66 | 6.57 3.04–10.11 2.00–11.14 | 66% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 5.90 3.68–8.11 3.11–8.68 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.75–6.81 | 10.18 5.96–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 60.34 53.55–67.13 51.88–68.80 | 40.67 33.88–47.45 32.21–49.12 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 564 497–632 479–650 | 376 310–443 292–460 | 941 807–1074 771–1110 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.42 68.40–76.45 67.10–77.75 | 67.77 63.45–72.10 62.14–73.41 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 10.27 7.43–13.10 6.67–13.86 | 14.74 11.79–17.68 11.05–18.43 | 25.01 19.22–30.79 17.72–32.29 | 16% 79% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.76 1.51–6.01 0.92–6.60 | 41% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.01–3.89 0.63–4.27 | 3.59 2.03–5.14 1.60–5.57 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.