Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.212.92safe0.74–2.670.36–2.071.09–4.74safer0.49–2.930.13–2.290.62–5.22
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.654.009.65safe3.79–7.512.26–5.756.05–13.26safer3.30–8.001.79–6.215.09–14.21
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1611.0227.18safe12.23–20.087.46–14.5819.69–34.67safer11.14–21.186.50–15.5417.64–36.72
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.357.2117.56safe7.40–13.294.53–9.8911.94–23.18safer6.58–14.123.80–10.6310.37–24.75
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.167.34safe2.30–6.061.51–4.823.81–10.88safer1.76–6.611.02–5.312.77–11.91
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.643.699.33safe3.42–7.851.69–5.695.11–13.54safer2.85–8.421.16–6.224.01–14.65
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.3045.01safe48.51–62.0938.23–51.80safer46.84–63.7636.56–53.47
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5794831061safe512–646416–549928–1195safer494–664399–567892–1231
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction73.8873.51safe69.85–77.9169.19–77.83safer68.56–79.2067.88–79.14
Fouls
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9911.3621.35safe7.16–12.838.41–14.3015.57–27.13safer6.40–13.597.66–15.0514.06–28.64
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.813.35safe0.38–2.700.72–2.901.10–5.61safer0.08–3.010.43–3.190.51–6.20
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.803.22safe0.37–2.460.67–2.931.04–5.40safer0.10–2.730.38–3.220.48–5.95
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
25%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.786.36safe1.15–4.022.22–5.333.37–9.35safer0.76–4.411.79–5.762.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.67 0.49–2.93 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.29 | 2.92 1.09–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.65 3.79–7.51 3.30–8.00 | 4.00 2.26–5.75 1.79–6.21 | 9.65 6.05–13.26 5.09–14.21 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.16 12.23–20.08 11.14–21.18 | 11.02 7.46–14.58 6.50–15.54 | 27.18 19.69–34.67 17.64–36.72 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.35 7.40–13.29 6.58–14.12 | 7.21 4.53–9.89 3.80–10.63 | 17.56 11.94–23.18 10.37–24.75 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.06 1.76–6.61 | 3.16 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 7.34 3.81–10.88 2.77–11.91 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.42–7.85 2.85–8.42 | 3.69 1.69–5.69 1.16–6.22 | 9.33 5.11–13.54 4.01–14.65 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 55.30 48.51–62.09 46.84–63.76 | 45.01 38.23–51.80 36.56–53.47 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 579 512–646 494–664 | 483 416–549 399–567 | 1061 928–1195 892–1231 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.88 69.85–77.91 68.56–79.20 | 73.51 69.19–77.83 67.88–79.14 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 9.99 7.16–12.83 6.40–13.59 | 11.36 8.41–14.30 7.66–15.05 | 21.35 15.57–27.13 14.06–28.64 | 34% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.01 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.35 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.22 1.04–5.40 0.48–5.95 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.78 2.22–5.33 1.79–5.76 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.56–10.17 | 25% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.